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Plymouth vs Alvechurch prediction & odds

Plymouth

17:00

Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:00

Alvechurch

Odds 1X2

1Plymouth1.22XDraw7.202Alvechurch12.00

PlymouthvsAlvechurch

Nito’s pick2.04

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 3.5Over 3.5

2.04

62%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: FA Cup
Kick-off: Sat 7 Nov 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 3.5Over 3.562%Confidence2.04Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 2.04 means bookmakers give it 49%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+13 pts)
3+ goals in 60% of Plymouth's last 5 and 70% of Alvechurch's
Goals per game in the last 5: Plymouth matches 3.3, Alvechurch matches 3.3

Best price 2.04 means bookmakers give it 49%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+13 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreNo

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.83

Both teams to score: No: our confidence is 60%, 5 points above the 55% the best price of 1.83 implies.

Total goals 3.5Over 3.5

Confidence62%

Indicative price2.04

We rate Over 3.5 goals at 62% — the price of 2.04 implies only 49%.

Asian handicap -2.5Plymouth -2.5

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.50

Asian handicap: Plymouth -2.5: our confidence is 60%, 20 points above the 40% the best price of 2.50 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Plymouth79%1.22

Draw13%7.20

Alvechurch8%12.00

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.2%

Plymouth1.2279%Draw7.2013%Alvechurch12.008%

Total goals 2.5margin 7.4%

Over 2.51.4067%Under 2.52.7833%

Asian handicapmargin 6.9%

Plymouth -1.751.7055%Alvechurch +1.752.0845%

More markets (2)

1st-half resultmargin 16.5%

Plymouth1.4758%Draw2.8630%Alvechurch7.4312%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Plymouth1.9350%Alvechurch1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

Last matches: Plymouth

31.10.26League OnePlymouthReading00D
24.10.26League OneCambridge UtdPlymouth23W
20.10.26League OneStevenagePlymouth30L
17.10.26League OnePlymouthHuddersfield02L
10.10.26League OnePlymouthAFC Wimbledon21W

Last matches: Alvechurch

31.10.26Non League PremierLeistonAlvechurch13W
27.10.26Non League PremierAlvechurchAnstey Nomads22D
24.10.26Non League PremierStratfordAlvechurch44D
20.10.26FA CupAlvechurchSpalding United40W
17.10.26FA CupSpalding UnitedAlvechurch22D

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Plymouth2W 1D 2L · goals 5–8

D31.10League OneHReading0–0
W24.10League OneACambridge Utd3–2
L20.10League OneAStevenage0–3
L17.10League OneHHuddersfield0–2
W10.10League OneHAFC Wimbledon2–1

Alvechurch2W 3D 0L · goals 15–9

W31.10Non League PremierALeiston3–1
D27.10Non League PremierHAnstey Nomads2–2
D24.10Non League PremierAStratford4–4
W20.10FA CupHSpalding United4–0
D17.10FA CupASpalding United2–2

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

PlymouthAlvechurch

1.9Goals scored per game1.9

1.4Goals conceded per game1.4

50%Both teams scored70%

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

2Clean sheets2

40%Failed to score20%

2-1-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-3-0

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About this match

Plymouth vs Alvechurch preview

Plymouth host Alvechurch in the FA Cup on Sat, 7 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.

Form · last 5 matches

PlymouthDWLLW5 scored · 8 conceded

AlvechurchWDDWD15 scored · 9 conceded

Key facts · last 5

PlymouthAlvechurch

1.9Goals scored per game1.9

1.4Goals conceded per game1.4

50%Both teams scored70%

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

2Clean sheets2

Our pick

Over 3.5 goalsOver 3.562%Confidence2.04Price

+2 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Plymouth the favourite at 1.22 (79% implied), with the draw at 7.20 (13%).

Our strongest pick is Over 3.5 goals with 62% confidence at a best price of 2.04.

We also have Both teams to score: No (60%, 1.83) and Asian handicap: Plymouth -2.5 (60%, 2.50).

Plymouth come into the game with DWLLW in their last 5 (5 scored, 8 conceded), while Alvechurch have WDDWD (15 scored, 9 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 60% of Plymouth's recent games and 70% of Alvechurch's, with both teams scoring in 50% and 70%.

Per game, Plymouth average 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Alvechurch 1.9 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 2).

Nito explains: Plymouth vs Alvechurch

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Plymouth vs Alvechurch mean?

The best prices are 1.22 for a Plymouth win, 7.20 for a draw and 12.00 for a Alvechurch win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.22 returns 12.20 if Plymouth win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.2% removed) that is 79% Plymouth, 13% draw and 8% Alvechurch.

What does Nito's pick "Over 3.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has more than 3.5 goals in total. At 2.04, the price implies a 49% chance; Nito's data rates it at 62%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Plymouth and Alvechurch matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Plymouth's last 10 matches and 70% of Alvechurch's last 10.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Plymouth reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Alvechurch in 70% of their last 10.

What does the form guide DWLLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Plymouth, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (5 scored, 8 conceded). Alvechurch, last 5: 2 W · 3 D · 0 L (15 scored, 9 conceded).

Plymouth vs Alvechurch: questions & answers

Who will win Plymouth vs Alvechurch?

Our pick is Asian handicap: Plymouth -2.5 with 60% confidence (best price 2.50). Bookmaker odds imply Plymouth 79%, draw 13%, Alvechurch 8%.

Will both teams score in Plymouth vs Alvechurch?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (60% confidence, 1.83). In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Plymouth's matches and 70% of Alvechurch's.

What are the odds for Plymouth vs Alvechurch?

Odds: Plymouth 1.22, draw 7.20, Alvechurch 12.00. Our pick Over 3.5 goals is available at 2.04.

When is the Plymouth vs Alvechurch kick-off?

Plymouth vs Alvechurch kicks off on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

Other FA Cup matches on 7 Nov

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Plymouth vs Alvechurch prediction & odds

Plymouth

Alvechurch

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds