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Gillingham vs Barrow prediction & odds

Gillingham

17:00
Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:00

Barrow

Odds 1X2
1Gillingham2.00XDraw3.702Barrow3.75
GillinghamvsBarrowNito’s pick1.95

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
1.95

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
FA Cup
Kick-off

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence1.95Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.95 means bookmakers give it 51%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+9 pts)
  • 3+ goals in 80% of Gillingham's last 5 and 50% of Barrow's
  • Goals per game in the last 5: Gillingham matches 3.7, Barrow matches 2.6
  • Their 8 meetings average 2.5 goals; both teams scored in 38%

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Gillingham48%2.00
Draw26%3.70
Barrow26%3.75

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.7%
Gillingham2.0048%Draw3.7026%Barrow3.7526%
Total goals 2.5margin 5.3%
Over 2.51.8551%Under 2.51.9549%
Asian handicapmargin 4.6%
Gillingham -0.51.9948%Barrow +0.51.8452%
More markets (1)
1st-half resultmargin 7.1%
Gillingham2.4937%Draw2.3140%Barrow4.2222%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Comments

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About this match

Gillingham vs Barrow preview

Gillingham host Barrow in the FA Cup on Sat, 7 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.