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Bayern Munich vs Dortmund prediction & odds

Bayern Munich

19:30

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 19:30

Dortmund

Odds 1X2

1Bayern Munich1.35Nito’s pickXDraw6.202Dortmund8.53

Bayern MunichvsDortmund

Nito’s pick1.35

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Bayern Munich

1.35

82%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 82% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Bundesliga
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 19:30 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Bayern Munich82%Confidence1.35Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.35 means bookmakers give it 74%; Nito's confidence is 82% (+8 pts)
Bayern Munich won 3 of their last 5 (goals 20–8); Dortmund won 3 (goals 6–4)
In the table Bayern Munich are 1st with 17 pts, Dortmund 2nd with 17 pts
In 51 meetings Bayern Munich won 27, Dortmund won 11, 13 were drawn

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 82% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Bayern MunichHigh confidence

Confidence82%

Indicative price1.35

We rate Bayern Munich to win at 82% — the price of 1.35 implies only 74%.

Asian handicap -1.25Bayern Munich -1.25High confidence

Confidence78%

Indicative price1.63

Asian handicap: Bayern Munich -1.25: our confidence is 78%, 17 points above the 61% the best price of 1.63 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Bayern Munich73%1.35

Draw16%6.20

Dortmund12%8.53

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 1.9%

Bayern Munich1.3573%Draw6.2016%Dortmund8.5312%

Double chance

Bayern Munich or Draw1.07Bayern Munich or Dortmund1.09Draw or Dortmund3.08

Total goals 4margin 2.7%

Over 42.0348%Under 41.8752%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.5%

Bayern Munich -1.752.0148%Dortmund +1.751.8652%

1st-half resultmargin 4.4%

Bayern Munich1.6857%Draw3.3129%Dortmund6.8414%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.1%

Bayern Munich1.9450%Dortmund1.9450%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

27Bayern Munich wins

13Draws

11Dortmund wins

Last matches: Bayern Munich

28.10.26DFB-PokalBayern MunichMagdeburg61W
25.10.26BundesligaFreiburgBayern Munich13W
21.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueBayern MunichArsenal22D
17.10.26BundesligaBayern MunichRB Leipzig61W
13.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueVikingBayern Munich33D

Last matches: Dortmund

27.10.26DFB-PokalDortmundWerder Bremen32W
24.10.26BundesligaDortmundEintracht Frankfurt10W
20.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueSabah BakuDortmund12W
17.10.26BundesligaUnion BerlinDortmund00D
14.10.26UEFA Champions LeagueBodo/GlimtDortmund10L

Head-to-head matches

22.08.26Super CupDortmundBayern Munich12W
28.02.26BundesligaDortmundBayern Munich23W
18.10.25BundesligaBayern MunichDortmund21W
12.04.25BundesligaBayern MunichDortmund22D
30.11.24BundesligaDortmundBayern Munich11D
30.03.24BundesligaBayern MunichDortmund02L

3.31Avg goals61%Both scored63%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Bayern Munich vs Dortmund: head-to-head record

51 meetings since 2006: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

27Bayern Munich wins

13Draws

11Dortmund wins

107:62Goals (Bayern Munich : Dortmund)

3.31Goals per match

61%BTTS

80%Over 1.5

63%Over 2.5

49%Over 3.5

Bayern Munich at home: 16-5-565:31 goals in 26 games
Dortmund at home: 6-8-1131:42 goals in 25 games
Bayern Munich's biggest win: 6–0Bayern Munich 6–0 Dortmund, 31 Mar 2018
Dortmund's biggest win: 0–3Bayern Munich 0–3 Dortmund, 12 Apr 2014

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
22 Aug 2026	Super Cup	Dortmund	1–2	Bayern Munich
28 Feb 2026	Bundesliga	Dortmund	2–3	Bayern Munich
18 Oct 2025	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	2–1	Dortmund
12 Apr 2025	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	2–2	Dortmund
30 Nov 2024	Bundesliga	Dortmund	1–1	Bayern Munich
30 Mar 2024	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	0–2	Dortmund
4 Nov 2023	Bundesliga	Dortmund	0–4	Bayern Munich
1 Apr 2023	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	4–2	Dortmund
8 Oct 2022	Bundesliga	Dortmund	2–2	Bayern Munich
23 Apr 2022	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	3–1	Dortmund
4 Dec 2021	Bundesliga	Dortmund	2–3	Bayern Munich
6 Mar 2021	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	4–2	Dortmund
7 Nov 2020	Bundesliga	Dortmund	2–3	Bayern Munich
26 May 2020	Bundesliga	Dortmund	0–1	Bayern Munich
9 Nov 2019	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	4–0	Dortmund
6 Apr 2019	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	5–0	Dortmund
10 Nov 2018	Bundesliga	Dortmund	3–2	Bayern Munich
31 Mar 2018	Bundesliga	Bayern Munich	6–0	Dortmund
20 Dec 2017	Cup	Bayern Munich	2–1	Dortmund
4 Nov 2017	Bundesliga	Dortmund	1–3	Bayern Munich

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Bayern Munich3W 2D 0L · goals 20–8

W28.10DFB-PokalHMagdeburg6–1
W25.10BundesligaAFreiburg3–1
D21.10UEFA Champions LeagueHArsenal2–2
W17.10BundesligaHRB Leipzig6–1
D13.10UEFA Champions LeagueAViking3–3

Dortmund3W 1D 1L · goals 6–4

W27.10DFB-PokalHWerder Bremen3–2
W24.10BundesligaHEintracht Frankfurt1–0
W20.10UEFA Champions LeagueASabah Baku2–1
D17.10BundesligaAUnion Berlin0–0
L14.10UEFA Champions LeagueABodo/Glimt0–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Bayern MunichDortmund

3.6Goals scored per game1.8

1.1Goals conceded per game1.0

70%Both teams scored50%

90%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets4

10%Failed to score20%

4-1-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)3-1-1

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

Bayern MunichDortmund

Bundesliga 2026/2027 · 4 gamesBundesliga 2026/2027 · 5 games

3.5Goals scored2.2

0.5Goals conceded0.8

9.5Corners4.8

21.8Shots15.8

70%Possession53%

1.0Yellow cards2.4

50%Clean sheets60%

25%Failed to score0%

2-0-0Home / away record (W-D-L)2-0-0

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Bundesliga

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Bayern Munich	7	+19	17	WWDWW
2	Dortmund	7	+8	17	WDDWW
3	Freiburg	7	+7	13	LLWDW

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Bayern Munich

✕T. BuchmannKnee Injury
✕L. DiazMuscle Injury
?J. MusialaMuscle Injury
?M. NeuerFoot Injury

Dortmund

✕E. CanKnee Injury
✕G. KonstanteliasKnee Injury
✕J. LermaMuscle Injury
?K. KaretsasAnkle Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

Bayern Munich vs Dortmund preview

Bayern Munich host Dortmund in the Bundesliga on Sat, 31 Oct 2026, with kick-off at 19:30.

Form · last 5 matches

Bayern MunichWWDWD20 scored · 8 conceded

DortmundWWWDL6 scored · 4 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Bayern MunichDortmund

3.6Goals scored per game1.8

1.1Goals conceded per game1.0

70%Both teams scored50%

90%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

27Bayern Munich wins

13Draws

11Dortmund wins

51 meetings · 3.3 goals per game · both teams scored in 61%

What's at stake

Bayern Munich1st17 pts · 7 played

Dortmund2nd17 pts · 7 played

Level on points

Our pick

Bayern Munich to winBayern Munich82%Confidence1.35Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 1.35 on Bayern Munich, 6.20 on the draw and 8.53 on Dortmund, which is roughly 73%, 16% and 12% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

The selection we rate highest is Bayern Munich to win: 82% confidence, priced at 1.35.

We also have Asian handicap: Bayern Munich -1.25 (78%, 1.63).

Recent form over the last 5: Bayern Munich WWDWD (goals 20–8), Dortmund WWWDL (goals 6–4).

Both teams scored in 70% of Bayern Munich's recent games and 50% of Dortmund's; over 2.5 goals landed in 90% and 60% respectively.

Per game, Bayern Munich average 3.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Dortmund 1.8 and 1.0 (clean sheets: 4).

Across 51 head-to-head games the record reads 27–13–11 (wins–draws–losses) from Bayern Munich's side.

Those 51 games averaged 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.

The last meeting (2026-08-22) ended Dortmund 1–2 Bayern Munich.

Bayern Munich sit 1st on 17 pts after 7 games, Dortmund 2nd on 17 pts.

Nito explains: Bayern Munich vs Dortmund

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Bayern Munich vs Dortmund mean?

The best prices are 1.35 for a Bayern Munich win, 6.20 for a draw and 8.53 for a Dortmund win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.35 returns 13.50 if Bayern Munich win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 1.9% removed) that is 73% Bayern Munich, 16% draw and 12% Dortmund.

What does Nito's pick "Bayern Munich to win" mean?

It wins only if Bayern Munich win; a draw or a Dortmund win loses. At 1.35, the price implies a 74% chance; Nito's data rates it at 82%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Bayern Munich and Dortmund matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Bayern Munich's last 10 matches and 50% of Dortmund's last 10. In their 51 recorded meetings it was 61%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Bayern Munich reached that in 90% of their last 10 matches, Dortmund in 60% of their last 10. Their 51 meetings averaged 3.3 goals (63% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWDWD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Bayern Munich, last 5: 3 W · 2 D · 0 L (20 scored, 8 conceded). Dortmund, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (6 scored, 4 conceded).

Where do Bayern Munich and Dortmund stand in the table?

Bayern Munich are 1st with 17 points from 7 games. Dortmund are 2nd with 17 points from 7 games. They are level on points.

Bayern Munich vs Dortmund: questions & answers

Who will win Bayern Munich vs Dortmund?

Our pick is Bayern Munich to win with 82% confidence (best price 1.35). Bookmaker odds imply Bayern Munich 73%, draw 16%, Dortmund 12%.

Will both teams score in Bayern Munich vs Dortmund?

Both teams scored in 61% of their 51 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Bayern Munich's matches and 50% of Dortmund's.

What are the odds for Bayern Munich vs Dortmund?

Odds: Bayern Munich 1.35, draw 6.20, Dortmund 8.53. Our pick Bayern Munich to win is available at 1.35.

When is the Bayern Munich vs Dortmund kick-off?

Bayern Munich vs Dortmund kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 19:30 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Bayern Munich and Dortmund?

51 meetings: Bayern Munich 27 wins, 13 draws, Dortmund 11 wins. Those 51 games averaged 3.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.

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Bayern Munich vs Dortmund prediction & odds

Bayern Munich

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Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds