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Hornchurch vs Blackpool prediction & odds

Hornchurch

17:00
Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:00

Blackpool

Odds 1X2
1Hornchurch4.20XDraw4.102Blackpool1.82Nito’s pick
HornchurchvsBlackpoolNito’s pick1.82

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Blackpool
1.82

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
FA Cup
Kick-off

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Blackpool62%Confidence1.82Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 1.82 means bookmakers give it 55%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+7 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Hornchurch23%4.20
Draw23%4.10
Blackpool54%1.79

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.1%
Hornchurch4.2023%Draw4.1024%Blackpool1.8253%
Double chance
Hornchurch or Draw1.85Hornchurch or Blackpool1.18Draw or Blackpool1.17
Total goals 2.5margin 6.1%
Over 2.51.5760%Under 2.52.3640%
More markets (3)
Asian handicapmargin 6.2%
Hornchurch +0.751.7853%Blackpool -0.752.0047%
1st-half resultmargin 17.0%
Hornchurch3.6124%Draw2.2638%Blackpool2.2239%
Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%
Hornchurch1.9450%Blackpool1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Comments

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About this match

Hornchurch vs Blackpool preview

Hornchurch host Blackpool in the FA Cup on Sat, 7 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.