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Hornchurch vs Blackpool prediction & odds

Hornchurch

17:00

Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:00

Blackpool

Odds 1X2

1Hornchurch4.20XDraw4.102Blackpool1.79Nito’s pick

HornchurchvsBlackpool

Nito’s pick1.79

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Blackpool

1.79

62%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: FA Cup
Kick-off: Sat 7 Nov 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Blackpool62%Confidence1.79Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.79 means bookmakers give it 56%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+6 pts)
Blackpool won 2 of their last 5 (goals 7–9); Hornchurch won 2 (goals 9–7)

Best price 1.79 means bookmakers give it 56%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+6 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Hornchurch23%4.20

Draw23%4.10

Blackpool54%1.79

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.1%

Hornchurch4.2023%Draw4.1023%Blackpool1.7954%

Double chance

Hornchurch or Draw1.85Hornchurch or Blackpool1.18Draw or Blackpool1.17

Total goals 2.5margin 6.1%

Over 2.51.5760%Under 2.52.3640%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.3%

Hornchurch +0.751.8452%Blackpool -0.752.0048%

1st-half resultmargin 7.2%

Hornchurch4.3821%Draw2.4937%Blackpool2.2641%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Hornchurch1.9450%Blackpool1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

Last matches: Hornchurch

03.11.26National League CupHornchurchWest Ham U2120W
30.10.26ConferenceAFC FyldeHornchurch31L
27.10.26ConferenceHornchurchYeovil12L
24.10.26ConferenceHartlepoolHornchurch21L
17.10.26FA CupUxbridgeHornchurch04W

Last matches: Blackpool

01.11.26League OneSheffield WedBlackpool11D
27.10.26EFL TrophyBlackpoolAston Villa U2132W
24.10.26League OneBlackpoolMansfield14L
20.10.26League OneBlackpoolMK Dons20W
17.10.26League OneLeyton OrientBlackpool20L

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Hornchurch2W 0D 3L · goals 9–7

W03.11National League CupHWest Ham U212–0
L30.10ConferenceAAFC Fylde1–3
L27.10ConferenceHYeovil1–2
L24.10ConferenceAHartlepool1–2
W17.10FA CupAUxbridge4–0

Blackpool2W 1D 2L · goals 7–9

D01.11League OneASheffield Wed1–1
W27.10EFL TrophyHAston Villa U213–2
L24.10League OneHMansfield1–4
W20.10League OneHMK Dons2–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

HornchurchBlackpool

1.4Goals scored per game1.6

1.6Goals conceded per game2.1

50%Both teams scored70%

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets1

20%Failed to score20%

3-0-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-1-3

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About this match

Hornchurch vs Blackpool preview

Hornchurch host Blackpool in the FA Cup on Sat, 7 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.

Form · last 5 matches

HornchurchWLLLW9 scored · 7 conceded

BlackpoolDWLWL7 scored · 9 conceded

Key facts · last 5

HornchurchBlackpool

1.4Goals scored per game1.6

1.6Goals conceded per game2.1

50%Both teams scored70%

80%Over 2.5 goals60%

3Clean sheets1

Our pick

Blackpool to winBlackpool62%Confidence1.79Price

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Blackpool the favourite at 1.79 (54% implied), with the draw at 4.10 (23%).

Blackpool to win is our top pick for this game (62% confidence, best price 1.79).

Hornchurch come into the game with WLLLW in their last 5 (9 scored, 7 conceded), while Blackpool have DWLWL (7 scored, 9 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 80% of Hornchurch's recent games and 60% of Blackpool's, with both teams scoring in 50% and 70%.

Per game, Hornchurch average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Blackpool 1.6 and 2.1 (clean sheets: 1).

Nito explains: Hornchurch vs Blackpool

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Hornchurch vs Blackpool mean?

The best prices are 4.20 for a Hornchurch win, 4.10 for a draw and 1.79 for a Blackpool win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 4.20 returns 42.00 if Hornchurch win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.1% removed) that is 23% Hornchurch, 23% draw and 54% Blackpool.

What does Nito's pick "Blackpool to win" mean?

It wins only if Blackpool win; a draw or a Hornchurch win loses. At 1.79, the price implies a 56% chance; Nito's data rates it at 62%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Hornchurch and Blackpool matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Hornchurch's last 10 matches and 70% of Blackpool's last 10.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Hornchurch reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Blackpool in 60% of their last 10.

What does the form guide WLLLW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Hornchurch, last 5: 2 W · 0 D · 3 L (9 scored, 7 conceded). Blackpool, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (7 scored, 9 conceded).

Hornchurch vs Blackpool: questions & answers

Who will win Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

Our pick is Blackpool to win with 62% confidence (best price 1.79). Bookmaker odds imply Hornchurch 23%, draw 23%, Blackpool 54%.

Will both teams score in Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Hornchurch's matches and 70% of Blackpool's.

What are the odds for Hornchurch vs Blackpool?

Odds: Hornchurch 4.20, draw 4.10, Blackpool 1.79. Our pick Blackpool to win is available at 1.79.

When is the Hornchurch vs Blackpool kick-off?

Hornchurch vs Blackpool kicks off on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

Hornchurch vs Blackpool prediction & odds

Hornchurch

Blackpool

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds