Home / England: EFL Championship / Burnley vs Portsmouth

EFL ChampionshipUpcoming

Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction & odds

Burnley

17:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 17:00

Portsmouth

Odds 1X2

1Burnley2.30XDraw3.402Portsmouth3.25

Turf Moor

BurnleyvsPortsmouth

Nito’s pick1.72

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Double chanceDraw or Portsmouth

1.72

65%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: EFL Championship
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 17:00 EET
Stadium: Turf Moor
Capacity: 22,546
City: Burnley

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Double chanceDraw or Portsmouth65%Confidence1.72Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.72 means bookmakers give it 58%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+7 pts)
Portsmouth won 3 of their last 5 (goals 7–5); Burnley won 1 (goals 9–9)
In the table Portsmouth are 11th with 18 pts, Burnley 22nd with 8 pts
In 47 meetings Portsmouth won 20, Burnley won 18, 9 were drawn

Best price 1.72 means bookmakers give it 58%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+7 pts)

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Double chanceDraw or PortsmouthHigh confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.72

Double chance: Draw or Portsmouth: our confidence is 65%, 7 points above the 58% the best price of 1.72 implies.

Asian handicap -0.25Portsmouth +0.25

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.90

Asian handicap: Portsmouth +0.25: our confidence is 60%, 7 points above the 53% the best price of 1.90 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Burnley42%2.30

Draw28%3.40

Portsmouth30%3.25

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.7%

Burnley2.3042%Draw3.4028%Portsmouth3.2530%

Double chance

Burnley or Draw1.23Burnley or Portsmouth1.23Draw or Portsmouth1.72

Total goals 2.5margin 3.4%

Over 2.52.0547%Under 2.51.8353%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 3.1%

Burnley -0.251.9849%Portsmouth +0.251.9051%

1st-half resultmargin 4.4%

Burnley2.9333%Draw2.2343%Portsmouth3.9324%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Burnley1.9549%Portsmouth1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

18Burnley wins

9Draws

20Portsmouth wins

Last matches: Burnley

24.10.26EFL ChampionshipLincolnBurnley41L
16.10.26EFL ChampionshipBurnleyWolverhampton Wanderers12L
13.10.26EFL ChampionshipBurnleyCharlton22D
10.10.26EFL ChampionshipWatfordBurnley04W
19.09.26EFL ChampionshipBurnleyDerby11D

Last matches: Portsmouth

24.10.26EFL ChampionshipPortsmouthMillwall21W
20.10.26EFL ChampionshipWolverhampton WanderersPortsmouth11D
17.10.26EFL ChampionshipNorwichPortsmouth01W
14.10.26EFL ChampionshipPortsmouthSheffield Utd32W
11.10.26EFL ChampionshipSouthamptonPortsmouth10L

Head-to-head matches

01.02.25ChampionshipPortsmouthBurnley00D
21.09.24ChampionshipBurnleyPortsmouth21W
31.03.12ChampionshipPortsmouthBurnley15W
10.12.11ChampionshipBurnleyPortsmouth01L
25.04.11ChampionshipBurnleyPortsmouth11D
25.01.11ChampionshipPortsmouthBurnley12W

2.72Avg goals57%Both scored51%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Burnley vs Portsmouth: head-to-head record

47 meetings since 1927: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

18Burnley wins

9Draws

20Portsmouth wins

63:65Goals (Burnley : Portsmouth)

2.72Goals per match

57%BTTS

74%Over 1.5

51%Over 2.5

26%Over 3.5

Burnley at home: 14-5-540:24 goals in 24 games
Portsmouth at home: 15-4-441:23 goals in 23 games
Burnley's biggest win: 1–5Portsmouth 1–5 Burnley, 31 Mar 2012
Portsmouth's biggest win: 7–1Portsmouth 7–1 Burnley, 3 Jan 1930

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
1 Feb 2025	Championship	Portsmouth	0–0	Burnley
21 Sept 2024	Championship	Burnley	2–1	Portsmouth
31 Mar 2012	Championship	Portsmouth	1–5	Burnley
10 Dec 2011	Championship	Burnley	0–1	Portsmouth
25 Apr 2011	Championship	Burnley	1–1	Portsmouth
25 Jan 2011	Championship	Portsmouth	1–2	Burnley
27 Feb 2010	Premier League	Burnley	1–2	Portsmouth
5 Dec 2009	Premier League	Portsmouth	2–0	Burnley
25 Sept 2007	Carling Cup	Burnley	0–1	Portsmouth
14 Apr 2003	Championship	Portsmouth	1–0	Burnley
25 Oct 2002	Championship	Burnley	0–3	Portsmouth
31 Mar 2002	Championship	Portsmouth	1–1	Burnley
9 Nov 2001	Championship	Burnley	1–1	Portsmouth
2 Mar 2001	Championship	Portsmouth	2–0	Burnley
29 Sept 2000	Championship	Burnley	1–1	Portsmouth
21 Apr 1995	Championship	Burnley	1–2	Portsmouth
1 Jan 1995	Championship	Portsmouth	2–0	Burnley
10 Apr 1959	Premier League	Burnley	2–1	Portsmouth
21 Nov 1958	Premier League	Portsmouth	4–2	Burnley
20 Dec 1957	Premier League	Burnley	3–1	Portsmouth

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Burnley1W 2D 2L · goals 9–9

L24.10EFL ChampionshipALincoln1–4
L16.10EFL ChampionshipHWolverhampton Wanderers1–2
D13.10EFL ChampionshipHCharlton2–2
W10.10EFL ChampionshipAWatford4–0
D19.09EFL ChampionshipHDerby1–1

Portsmouth3W 1D 1L · goals 7–5

W24.10EFL ChampionshipHMillwall2–1
D20.10EFL ChampionshipAWolverhampton Wanderers1–1
W17.10EFL ChampionshipANorwich1–0
W14.10EFL ChampionshipHSheffield Utd3–2
L11.10EFL ChampionshipASouthampton0–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

BurnleyPortsmouth

1.4Goals scored per game1.2

2.0Goals conceded per game1.1

90%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

1Clean sheets3

0%Failed to score30%

0-3-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-2-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Championship

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
10	Blackburn	12	+3	18	WLWWD
11	Portsmouth	12	+1	18	WDWWL
12	Sheffield Utd	12	+1	16	DWLWL
21	Watford	12	-10	11	LWLLL
22	Burnley	12	-8	8	LLDWD
23	Derby	12	-11	7	DLLDD

Comments

What do you think about this match and Nito's pick? Be kind — no links, no advertising.

18+ · No links or advertising · Comments are moderated.

No comments yet. Start the conversation.

About this match

Burnley vs Portsmouth preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00, Burnley take on Portsmouth in the EFL Championship.

Form · last 5 matches

BurnleyLLDWD9 scored · 9 conceded

PortsmouthWDWWL7 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

BurnleyPortsmouth

1.4Goals scored per game1.2

2.0Goals conceded per game1.1

90%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

1Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

18Burnley wins

9Draws

20Portsmouth wins

47 meetings · 2.7 goals per game · both teams scored in 57%

What's at stake

Burnley22nd8 pts · 12 played

Portsmouth11th18 pts · 12 played

Portsmouth lead by 10 pts

Our pick

Double chanceDraw or Portsmouth65%Confidence1.72Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Turf Moor hosts the match.

Bookmakers make Burnley the favourite at 2.30 (42% implied), with the draw at 3.40 (28%).

Our strongest pick is Double chance: Draw or Portsmouth with 65% confidence at a best price of 1.72.

We also have Asian handicap: Portsmouth +0.25 (60%, 1.90).

Burnley come into the game with LLDWD in their last 5 (9 scored, 9 conceded), while Portsmouth have WDWWL (7 scored, 5 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 70% of Burnley's recent games and 40% of Portsmouth's, with both teams scoring in 90% and 50%.

Per game, Burnley average 1.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Portsmouth 1.2 and 1.1 (clean sheets: 3).

Head-to-head over 47 previous meetings: Burnley 18 wins, Portsmouth 20 wins, draws 9.

Those 47 games averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

The last meeting (2025-02-01) ended Portsmouth 0–0 Burnley.

In the table, Burnley are 22nd (8 pts from 12 games) and Portsmouth are 11th (18 pts from 12).

Nito explains: Burnley vs Portsmouth

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Burnley vs Portsmouth mean?

The best prices are 2.30 for a Burnley win, 3.40 for a draw and 3.25 for a Portsmouth win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.30 returns 23.00 if Burnley win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.7% removed) that is 42% Burnley, 28% draw and 30% Portsmouth.

What does Nito's pick "Double chance: Draw or Portsmouth" mean?

It wins if Portsmouth win or draw; it loses only if Burnley win. At 1.72, the price implies a 58% chance; Nito's data rates it at 65%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Burnley and Portsmouth matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 90% of Burnley's last 10 matches and 50% of Portsmouth's last 10. In their 47 recorded meetings it was 57%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Burnley reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Portsmouth in 40% of their last 10. Their 47 meetings averaged 2.7 goals (51% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLDWD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Burnley, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (9 scored, 9 conceded). Portsmouth, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (7 scored, 5 conceded).

Where do Burnley and Portsmouth stand in the table?

Burnley are 22nd with 8 points from 12 games. Portsmouth are 11th with 18 points from 12 games. The gap between them is 10 points.

Burnley vs Portsmouth: questions & answers

Who will win Burnley vs Portsmouth?

Our pick is Double chance: Draw or Portsmouth with 65% confidence (best price 1.72). Bookmaker odds imply Burnley 42%, draw 28%, Portsmouth 30%.

Will both teams score in Burnley vs Portsmouth?

Both teams scored in 57% of their 47 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 90% of Burnley's matches and 50% of Portsmouth's.

What are the odds for Burnley vs Portsmouth?

Odds: Burnley 2.30, draw 3.40, Portsmouth 3.25. Our pick Double chance: Draw or Portsmouth is available at 1.72.

When is the Burnley vs Portsmouth kick-off?

Burnley vs Portsmouth kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2) at Turf Moor.

What is the head-to-head record between Burnley and Portsmouth?

47 meetings: Burnley 18 wins, 9 draws, Portsmouth 20 wins. Those 47 games averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 57% of them.

Other EFL Championship matches on 31 Oct

All EFL Championship fixtures

Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction & odds

Burnley

Portsmouth

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds