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Carlisle vs Salford prediction & odds

Carlisle

17:00

Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:00

Salford

Odds 1X2

1Carlisle2.95XDraw3.752Salford2.32

CarlislevsSalford

Nito’s pick2.39

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

2.39

62%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: FA Cup
Kick-off: Sat 7 Nov 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.562%Confidence2.39Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 2.39 means bookmakers give it 42%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+20 pts)
3+ goals in 60% of Carlisle's last 5 and 70% of Salford's
Goals per game in the last 5: Carlisle matches 3.1, Salford matches 3.0
Their 10 meetings average 3.2 goals; both teams scored in 80%

Best price 2.39 means bookmakers give it 42%; Nito's confidence is 62% (+20 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 62% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Carlisle33%2.95

Draw26%3.75

Salford42%2.32

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.7%

Carlisle2.9533%Draw3.7526%Salford2.3242%

Double chance

Carlisle or Draw1.51Carlisle or Salford1.21Draw or Salford1.33

Total goals 2.5margin 5.9%

Over 2.51.5661%Under 2.52.3939%

More markets (4)

Asian handicapmargin 6.0%

Carlisle +0.251.8152%Salford -0.251.9748%

1st-half resultmargin 17.1%

Carlisle3.0728%Draw2.2837%Salford2.4635%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Carlisle1.9549%Salford1.9151%

Draw No Bet (1st Half)margin 7.2%

Yes2.1344%No1.6656%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

4Carlisle wins

3Draws

3Salford wins

Last matches: Carlisle

31.10.26ConferenceAltrinchamCarlisle24W
28.10.26ConferenceCarlisleHarrogate30W
24.10.26ConferenceSolihull MoorsCarlisle12W
17.10.26FA CupCarlisleTamworth21W
10.10.26ConferenceCarlisleKidderminster00D

Last matches: Salford

31.10.26League TwoSalfordExeter21W

Carlisle vs Salford: head-to-head record

10 meetings since 2019: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

4Carlisle wins

3Draws

3Salford wins

17:15Goals (Carlisle : Salford)

3.20Goals per match

80%BTTS

90%Over 1.5

70%Over 2.5

40%Over 3.5

Carlisle at home: 2-2-210:11 goals in 6 games
Salford at home: 1-1-24:7 goals in 4 games
Carlisle's biggest win: 1–4Salford 1–4 Carlisle, 19 Nov 2022
Salford's biggest win: 0–2Carlisle 0–2 Salford, 28 Jul 2026

Meetings (10 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
28 Jul 2026	Club Friendlies	Carlisle	0–2	Salford
3 May 2025	League Two	Carlisle	2–2	Salford
9 Nov 2024

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Carlisle4W 1D 0L · goals 11–4

W31.10ConferenceAAltrincham4–2
W28.10ConferenceHHarrogate3–0
W24.10ConferenceASolihull Moors2–1
W17.10FA CupHTamworth2–1
D10.10ConferenceHKidderminster0–0

Salford5W 0D 0L · goals 12–5

W31.10League TwoHExeter2–1
W26.10League TwoAWalsall4–2
W20.10League TwoABristol Rovers2–1
W17.10League TwoHCrawley2–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

CarlisleSalford

1.9Goals scored per game2.0

1.2Goals conceded per game1.0

60%Both teams scored70%

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

3Clean sheets3

20%Failed to score0%

2-2-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)4-0-1

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About this match

Carlisle vs Salford preview

Carlisle host Salford in the FA Cup on Sat, 7 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.

Form · last 5 matches

CarlisleWWWWD11 scored · 4 conceded

SalfordWWWWW12 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

CarlisleSalford

1.9Goals scored per game2.0

1.2Goals conceded per game1.0

60%Both teams scored70%

60%Over 2.5 goals70%

3Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

4Carlisle wins

3Draws

3Salford wins

10 meetings · 3.2 goals per game · both teams scored in 80%

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.562%Confidence2.39Price

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Salford the favourite at 2.32 (42% implied), with the draw at 3.75 (26%).

Our strongest pick is Under 2.5 goals with 62% confidence at a best price of 2.39.

Carlisle come into the game with WWWWD in their last 5 (11 scored, 4 conceded), while Salford have WWWWW (12 scored, 5 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 60% of Carlisle's recent games and 70% of Salford's, with both teams scoring in 60% and 70%.

Per game, Carlisle average 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Salford 2.0 and 1.0 (clean sheets: 3).

Head-to-head over 10 previous meetings: Carlisle 4 wins, Salford 3 wins, draws 3.

Those 10 games averaged 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

The last meeting (2026-07-28) ended Carlisle 0–2 Salford.

Nito explains: Carlisle vs Salford

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Carlisle vs Salford mean?

The best prices are 2.95 for a Carlisle win, 3.75 for a draw and 2.32 for a Salford win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.95 returns 29.50 if Carlisle win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.7% removed) that is 33% Carlisle, 26% draw and 42% Salford.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 2.39, the price implies a 42% chance; Nito's data rates it at 62%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Carlisle and Salford matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Carlisle's last 10 matches and 70% of Salford's last 10. In their 10 recorded meetings it was 80%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Carlisle reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Salford in 70% of their last 10. Their 10 meetings averaged 3.2 goals (70% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWWWD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Carlisle, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (11 scored, 4 conceded). Salford, last 5: 5 W · 0 D · 0 L (12 scored, 5 conceded).

Carlisle vs Salford: questions & answers

Who will win Carlisle vs Salford?

Bookmaker odds imply Carlisle 33%, draw 26%, Salford 42%.

Will both teams score in Carlisle vs Salford?

Both teams scored in 80% of their 10 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Carlisle's matches and 70% of Salford's.

What are the odds for Carlisle vs Salford?

Odds: Carlisle 2.95, draw 3.75, Salford 2.32. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.39.

When is the Carlisle vs Salford kick-off?

Carlisle vs Salford kicks off on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Carlisle and Salford?

10 meetings: Carlisle 4 wins, 3 draws, Salford 3 wins. Those 10 games averaged 3.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

Carlisle vs Salford prediction & odds

Carlisle

Salford

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds