Serie ALive

Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco live score & odds

Chapecoense-SC

0–1
HT

Vasco

    • Bruno Duarte 36′
    15/11/2026 01:30 · Arena Condá, Chapecó

    Key events

    Goals, cards and substitutions, minute by minute

    Key events

    1st half0 - 1
    24′Robert Renan
    36′0-1Bruno Duarte

    Nito’s pick

    ?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

    Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

    Match result (1X2)Vasco
    1.40

    Do you agree with Nito's pick?

     

    Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 74% by our numbers.

    Why Nito chose it →

    Match information

    Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

    Match information

    Competition
    Serie A
    Kick-off
    Stadium
    Arena Condá, Chapecó
    Capacity
    22,600
    City
    Chapecó, Santa Catarina

    Our pick: why Nito chose it

    ?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

    The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

    Match result (1X2)Vasco74%Confidence1.40Price

    Why
    ?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

    • Best price 1.40 means bookmakers give it 71%; Nito's confidence is 74% (+3 pts)
    • Vasco won 2 of their last 5 (goals 9–10); Chapecoense-SC won 1 (goals 5–8)
    • In the table Vasco are 13th with 41 pts, Chapecoense-SC 20th with 21 pts
    • In 11 meetings Vasco won 2, Chapecoense-SC won 2, 7 were drawn

    Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 74% by our numbers.

    All our picks for this match

    ?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

    Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

    Our picks for this match

    Match result (1X2)VascoHigh confidence
    Confidence74%
    Indicative price1.40

    We rate Vasco to win at 74% — the price of 1.40 implies only 71%.

    Both teams to scoreNo
    Confidence60%
    Indicative price1.91

    We rate Both teams to score: No at 60% — the price of 1.91 implies only 52%.

    Asian handicap +0.75Vasco -0.75High confidence
    Confidence70%
    Indicative price1.48

    Asian handicap: Vasco -0.75: our confidence is 70% at a best price of 1.48.

    Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

    Today's acca →

    Win probability

    ?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

    Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

    Chapecoense-SC14%7.05
    Draw19%5.12
    Vasco67%1.44

    Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

    Odds comparison

    ?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

    Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

    Odds

    No odds published yet — prices appear closer to kick-off

    Value bets · Dropping odds

    Comments

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    About this match

    Chapecoense-SC vs Vasco preview

    Live in the Serie A: Chapecoense-SC 0–1 Vasco, HT.