Chapecoense vs Vasco preview: Brasileirão, Saturday 14 November

Chapecoense welcome Vasco in the Brasileirão on Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 23:30 GMT. On paper this looks lopsided, with the hosts at the foot of the table and the visitors sitting comfortably in mid-table. The head-to-head record, though, is stubbornly balanced, and that's worth keeping in mind.

What's at stake

The table tells a stark story. Chapecoense-SC are 20th with 21 points from 33 games, behind Remo in 19th on 29 points from 34. Whatever happens on Saturday, the hosts need points badly, and every match from here carries weight for them.

Vasco are 13th with 41 points from 33 games, wedged between Coritiba in 12th on 42 points and Mirassol in 14th on 40. Our reading is that Vasco are in a fairly settled spot, but a win would help them pull clear of the pack around them. You can see the full standings on our Brasileirão page.

Recent form

Chapecoense's latest sequence reads D D L L W. Their most recent results include draws against Atlético Mineiro (2-2) and Joinville (0-0) in the Primeira Liga, plus Brasileirão defeats to Mirassol (1-2 at home on 3 November) and Bragantino (0-3 away). Before that they beat Fluminense 2-1 at home.

Across their last 10 games the averages are worrying: 0.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game, with just 1 clean sheet.

Vasco's sequence is D W L L W. They drew 2-2 with Palmeiras in the Cup most recently, won 3-1 away at Athletico-PR in the league, lost 0-1 to Palmeiras in the Cup and were beaten 1-4 at home by Flamengo, before which they edged Corinthians 3-2.

Over their last 10, Vasco average 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, with 2 clean sheets. Not dominant, but clearly sharper in attack than their hosts.

A few shared trends:

• Both teams scored in 60% of each side's last 10 matches.
• Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of games for both clubs.
• Vasco's defence has been leaky too, so a shutout for either side is far from assured.

Head-to-head

Here's the twist. In 11 meetings, Chapecoense have won 2, Vasco have won 2, and 7 have been draws. Games have averaged 1.91 goals, with both teams scoring in 73% of them but over 2.5 goals in only 27%.

The recent meetings underline the point: Vasco 1-1 Chapecoense in the Brasileirão on 5 February 2026, a pair of 0-0 draws in Serie B in 2022, and Vasco 1-1 Chapecoense in Serie A back in 2019. Low-scoring and level is very much the house style of this fixture.

What the prices say, and our pick

The best 1X2 prices are 7.5 for Chapecoense, 5.16 for the draw and 1.43 for Vasco. Those translate to implied chances of roughly 13% for a home win, 19% for the draw and 68% for the visitors.

Our model's view is Vasco in the match result (1X2) market at a best price of 1.43, with an implied figure of 70% for that selection. The case rests on the gap in league position and Chapecoense's weak scoring and defensive averages.

That said, a short price doesn't make anything certain. The draw-heavy head-to-head is the obvious counterargument, and at 5.16 the stalemate isn't being priced as especially likely. We'd treat this as a reasonable lean rather than a foregone conclusion.

For lineups and live stats closer to kick-off, check the match page. You can also browse today's tips or review how our picks have fared on our track record page.

For information only — not betting advice. Prices are the best available at publication. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.

Sources

• Tipnito match centre: Chapecoense – Vasco (odds, form, head-to-head)
• Brasileirão: table and fixtures
• Tipnito pick record (every pick settled publicly)