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Middlesbrough vs Charlton prediction & odds

Middlesbrough

17:00

Kick-off Sat 31 Oct, 17:00

Charlton

Odds 1X2

1Middlesbrough1.27XDraw6.602Charlton10.00

MiddlesbroughvsCharlton

Nito’s pick2.36

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Asian handicap -2.5Middlesbrough -2.5

2.36

70%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Championship
Kick-off: Sat 31 Oct 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Asian handicap -2.5Middlesbrough -2.570%Confidence2.36Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 2.36 means bookmakers give it 42%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+28 pts)
Middlesbrough won 3 of their last 5 (goals 13–7); Charlton won 0 (goals 5–11)
In the table Middlesbrough are 1st with 25 pts, Charlton 19th with 14 pts
In 50 meetings Middlesbrough won 23, Charlton won 16, 11 were drawn

Best price 2.36 means bookmakers give it 42%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+28 pts)

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreYes

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.80

Both teams to score: Yes: our confidence is 60%, 4 points above the 56% the best price of 1.80 implies.

Asian handicap -2.5Middlesbrough -2.5High confidence

Confidence70%

Indicative price2.36

Asian handicap: Middlesbrough -2.5: our confidence is 70%, 28 points above the 42% the best price of 2.36 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Middlesbrough76%1.27

Draw15%6.60

Charlton10%10.00

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.9%

Middlesbrough1.2776%Draw6.6015%Charlton10.0010%

Double chance

Middlesbrough or Draw1.02Middlesbrough or Charlton1.08Draw or Charlton3.55

1st-half resultmargin 17.2%

Middlesbrough1.5854%Draw2.6732%Charlton6.0914%

More markets (1)

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Middlesbrough1.9350%Charlton1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

23Middlesbrough wins

11Draws

16Charlton wins

Last matches: Middlesbrough

23.10.26EFL ChampionshipBoltonMiddlesbrough15W
17.10.26EFL ChampionshipMiddlesbroughCardiff22D
13.10.26EFL ChampionshipStokeMiddlesbrough23W
10.10.26EFL ChampionshipMiddlesbroughWolverhampton Wanderers10W
19.09.26EFL ChampionshipBirminghamMiddlesbrough22D

Last matches: Charlton

24.10.26EFL ChampionshipCharltonNorwich13L
17.10.26EFL ChampionshipWatfordCharlton20L
13.10.26EFL ChampionshipBurnleyCharlton22D
10.10.26EFL ChampionshipCharltonBristol City11D
19.09.26EFL ChampionshipCardiffCharlton31L

Head-to-head matches

11.03.26EFL ChampionshipMiddlesbroughCharlton01L
09.12.25EFL ChampionshipCharltonMiddlesbrough12W
07.03.20ChampionshipCharltonMiddlesbrough01W
07.12.19ChampionshipMiddlesbroughCharlton10W
13.03.16ChampionshipCharltonMiddlesbrough20L
31.10.15ChampionshipMiddlesbroughCharlton30W

2.58Avg goals36%Both scored42%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Middlesbrough vs Charlton: head-to-head record

50 meetings since 1948: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

23Middlesbrough wins

11Draws

16Charlton wins

68:61Goals (Middlesbrough : Charlton)

2.58Goals per match

36%BTTS

64%Over 1.5

42%Over 2.5

22%Over 3.5

Middlesbrough at home: 14-7-439:23 goals in 25 games
Charlton at home: 12-4-938:29 goals in 25 games
Middlesbrough's biggest win: 7–3Middlesbrough 7–3 Charlton, 8 Dec 1950
Charlton's biggest win: 8–1Charlton 8–1 Middlesbrough, 11 Sept 1953

Meetings (20 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
11 Mar 2026	EFL Championship	Middlesbrough	0–1	Charlton
9 Dec 2025	EFL Championship	Charlton	1–2	Middlesbrough
7 Mar 2020	Championship	Charlton	0–1	Middlesbrough
7 Dec 2019	Championship	Middlesbrough	1–0	Charlton
13 Mar 2016	Championship	Charlton	2–0	Middlesbrough
31 Oct 2015	Championship	Middlesbrough	3–0	Charlton
7 Feb 2015	Championship	Middlesbrough	3–1	Charlton
27 Sept 2014	Championship	Charlton	0–0	Middlesbrough
18 Jan 2014	Championship	Middlesbrough	1–0	Charlton
10 Aug 2013	Championship	Charlton	0–1	Middlesbrough
27 Apr 2013	Championship	Middlesbrough	2–2	Charlton
3 Nov 2012	Championship	Charlton	1–4	Middlesbrough
13 Jan 2007	Premier League	Charlton	1–3	Middlesbrough
23 Dec 2006	Premier League	Middlesbrough	2–0	Charlton
11 Apr 2006	FA Cup	Middlesbrough	4–2	Charlton
22 Mar 2006	FA Cup	Charlton	0–0	Middlesbrough
11 Mar 2006	Premier League	Charlton	2–1	Middlesbrough
27 Aug 2005	Premier League	Middlesbrough	0–3	Charlton
26 Feb 2005	Premier League	Middlesbrough	2–2	Charlton
29 Oct 2004	Premier League	Charlton	1–2	Middlesbrough

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Middlesbrough3W 2D 0L · goals 13–7

W23.10EFL ChampionshipABolton5–1
D17.10EFL ChampionshipHCardiff2–2
W13.10EFL ChampionshipAStoke3–2
W10.10EFL ChampionshipHWolverhampton Wanderers1–0
D19.09EFL ChampionshipABirmingham2–2

Charlton0W 2D 3L · goals 5–11

L24.10EFL ChampionshipHNorwich1–3
L17.10EFL ChampionshipAWatford0–2
D13.10EFL ChampionshipABurnley2–2
D10.10EFL ChampionshipHBristol City1–1
L19.09EFL ChampionshipACardiff1–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

MiddlesbroughCharlton

2.1Goals scored per game0.7

1.6Goals conceded per game1.6

70%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

2Clean sheets3

10%Failed to score40%

2-2-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-2-3

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

MiddlesbroughCharlton

Championship 2026/2027 · 8 gamesChampionship 2026/2027 · 8 games

2.0Goals scored0.9

1.5Goals conceded1.3

5.8Corners4.4

17.5Shots9.6

60%Possession38%

1.0Yellow cards1.4

13%Clean sheets38%

0%Failed to score38%

3-1-0Home / away record (W-D-L)1-1-2

Standings

Both teams highlighted, with the clubs around them

Table · Championship

#	Team	P	GD	Pts	Form
1	Middlesbrough	12	+10	25	WDWWD
2	Swansea	12	+3	23	LLWWW
18	Bolton	12	-7	14	LDWLW
19	Charlton	12	-7	14	LLDDL
20	Norwich	12	-2	12	WLLLL

Injuries and absences

Players ruled out or doubtful for this match

Injuries & suspensions

Middlesbrough

✕A. JonesCalf Injury
✕R. PukstasInjury
✕D. StrelecInjury

Charlton

✕R. ApterKnee Injury
✕C. SichenjeKnee Injury

✕ out · ? doubtful

Comments

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About this match

Middlesbrough vs Charlton preview

On Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00, Middlesbrough take on Charlton in the Championship.

Form · last 5 matches

MiddlesbroughWDWWD13 scored · 7 conceded

CharltonLLDDL5 scored · 11 conceded

Key facts · last 5

MiddlesbroughCharlton

2.1Goals scored per game0.7

1.6Goals conceded per game1.6

70%Both teams scored50%

70%Over 2.5 goals40%

2Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

23Middlesbrough wins

11Draws

16Charlton wins

50 meetings · 2.6 goals per game · both teams scored in 36%

What's at stake

Middlesbrough1st25 pts · 12 played

Charlton19th14 pts · 12 played

Middlesbrough lead by 11 pts

Our pick

Asian handicapMiddlesbrough -2.570%Confidence2.36Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Middlesbrough the favourite at 1.27 (76% implied), with the draw at 6.60 (15%).

Asian handicap: Middlesbrough -2.5 is our top pick for this game (70% confidence, best price 2.36).

We also have Both teams to score: Yes (60%, 1.80).

Middlesbrough come into the game with WDWWD in their last 5 (13 scored, 7 conceded), while Charlton have LLDDL (5 scored, 11 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 70% of Middlesbrough's recent games and 40% of Charlton's, with both teams scoring in 70% and 50%.

Per game, Middlesbrough average 2.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Charlton 0.7 and 1.6 (clean sheets: 3).

Head-to-head over 50 previous meetings: Middlesbrough 23 wins, Charlton 16 wins, draws 11.

Those 50 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 36% of them.

The last meeting (2026-03-11) ended Middlesbrough 0–1 Charlton.

In the table, Middlesbrough are 1st (25 pts from 12 games) and Charlton are 19th (14 pts from 12).

Nito explains: Middlesbrough vs Charlton

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Middlesbrough vs Charlton mean?

The best prices are 1.27 for a Middlesbrough win, 6.60 for a draw and 10.00 for a Charlton win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.27 returns 12.70 if Middlesbrough win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.9% removed) that is 76% Middlesbrough, 15% draw and 10% Charlton.

What does Nito's pick "Asian handicap: Middlesbrough -2.5" mean?

Asian handicap: -2.5 goals are added to Middlesbrough's final score, and the bet wins if Middlesbrough are still ahead after that. At 2.36, the price implies a 42% chance; Nito's data rates it at 70%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Middlesbrough and Charlton matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Middlesbrough's last 10 matches and 50% of Charlton's last 10. In their 50 recorded meetings it was 36%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Middlesbrough reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Charlton in 40% of their last 10. Their 50 meetings averaged 2.6 goals (42% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WDWWD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Middlesbrough, last 5: 3 W · 2 D · 0 L (13 scored, 7 conceded). Charlton, last 5: 0 W · 2 D · 3 L (5 scored, 11 conceded).

Where do Middlesbrough and Charlton stand in the table?

Middlesbrough are 1st with 25 points from 12 games. Charlton are 19th with 14 points from 12 games. The gap between them is 11 points.

Middlesbrough vs Charlton: questions & answers

Who will win Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

Our pick is Asian handicap: Middlesbrough -2.5 with 70% confidence (best price 2.36). Bookmaker odds imply Middlesbrough 76%, draw 15%, Charlton 10%.

Will both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is Yes (60% confidence, 1.80). Both teams scored in 36% of their 50 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Middlesbrough's matches and 50% of Charlton's.

What are the odds for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?

Odds: Middlesbrough 1.27, draw 6.60, Charlton 10.00. Our pick Asian handicap: Middlesbrough -2.5 is available at 2.36.

When is the Middlesbrough vs Charlton kick-off?

Middlesbrough vs Charlton kicks off on Sat, 31 Oct 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Middlesbrough and Charlton?

50 meetings: Middlesbrough 23 wins, 11 draws, Charlton 16 wins. Those 50 games averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 36% of them.

Other Championship matches on 31 Oct

All Championship fixtures

Middlesbrough vs Charlton prediction & odds

Middlesbrough

Charlton

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds