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Colchester vs Worcester prediction & odds

Colchester

17:00

Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:00

Worcester

Odds 1X2

1Colchester1.34Nito’s pickXDraw5.622Worcester8.40

ColchestervsWorcester

Nito’s pick1.34

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Colchester

1.34

82%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 82% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: FA Cup
Kick-off: Sat 7 Nov 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Colchester82%Confidence1.34Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.34 means bookmakers give it 75%; Nito's confidence is 82% (+7 pts)
Colchester won 0 of their last 5 (goals 2–7); Worcester won 3 (goals 10–5)

Best price 1.34 means bookmakers give it 75%; Nito's confidence is 82% (+7 pts)

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 82% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)ColchesterHigh confidence

Confidence82%

Indicative price1.34

Colchester to win: our confidence is 82%, 7 points above the 75% the best price of 1.34 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price2.45

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 65%, 24 points above the 41% the best price of 2.45 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Colchester72%1.34

Draw17%5.62

Worcester11%8.40

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.3%

Colchester1.3472%Draw5.6217%Worcester8.4011%

Double chance

Colchester or Draw1.02Colchester or Worcester1.09Draw or Worcester2.87

Total goals 2.5margin 7.0%

Over 2.51.5162%Under 2.52.4538%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 5.8%

Colchester -1.51.9249%Worcester +1.51.8651%

1st-half resultmargin 16.8%

Colchester1.6652%Draw2.5134%Worcester5.9914%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Colchester1.9350%Worcester1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

Last matches: Colchester

31.10.26League TwoColchesterWalsall13L
24.10.26League TwoNorthamptonColchester20L
20.10.26League TwoChesterfieldColchester11D
17.10.26League TwoColchesterExeter00D
10.10.26League TwoNewportColchester10L

Last matches: Worcester

31.10.26Non League PremierWorcesterReal Bedford41W
27.10.26Non League PremierBanburyWorcester03W
20.10.26FA CupWorcesterChorley10W
17.10.26FA CupChorleyWorcester11D
13.10.26Non League PremierWorcesterStourbridge13L

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Colchester0W 2D 3L · goals 2–7

L31.10League TwoHWalsall1–3
L24.10League TwoANorthampton0–2
D20.10League TwoAChesterfield1–1
D17.10League TwoHExeter0–0
L10.10League TwoANewport0–1

Worcester3W 1D 1L · goals 10–5

W31.10Non League PremierHReal Bedford4–1
W27.10Non League PremierABanbury3–0
W20.10FA CupHChorley1–0
D17.10FA CupAChorley1–1
L13.10Non League PremierHStourbridge1–3

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

ColchesterWorcester

0.8Goals scored per game1.5

1.6Goals conceded per game1.1

70%Both teams scored50%

40%Over 2.5 goals50%

1Clean sheets3

30%Failed to score30%

0-3-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-2-1

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About this match

Colchester vs Worcester preview

FA Cup fixture: Colchester welcome Worcester on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 (17:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

ColchesterLLDDL2 scored · 7 conceded

WorcesterWWWDL10 scored · 5 conceded

Key facts · last 5

ColchesterWorcester

0.8Goals scored per game1.5

1.6Goals conceded per game1.1

70%Both teams scored50%

40%Over 2.5 goals50%

1Clean sheets3

Our pick

Colchester to winColchester82%Confidence1.34Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Colchester the favourite at 1.34 (72% implied), with the draw at 5.62 (17%).

Our strongest pick is Colchester to win with 82% confidence at a best price of 1.34.

We also have Under 2.5 goals (65%, 2.45).

Colchester come into the game with LLDDL in their last 5 (2 scored, 7 conceded), while Worcester have WWWDL (10 scored, 5 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 40% of Colchester's recent games and 50% of Worcester's, with both teams scoring in 70% and 50%.

Per game, Colchester average 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (clean sheets: 1), Worcester 1.5 and 1.1 (clean sheets: 3).

Nito explains: Colchester vs Worcester

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Colchester vs Worcester mean?

The best prices are 1.34 for a Colchester win, 5.62 for a draw and 8.40 for a Worcester win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.34 returns 13.40 if Colchester win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.3% removed) that is 72% Colchester, 17% draw and 11% Worcester.

What does Nito's pick "Colchester to win" mean?

It wins only if Colchester win; a draw or a Worcester win loses. At 1.34, the price implies a 75% chance; Nito's data rates it at 82%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Colchester and Worcester matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Colchester's last 10 matches and 50% of Worcester's last 10.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Colchester reached that in 40% of their last 10 matches, Worcester in 50% of their last 10.

What does the form guide LLDDL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Colchester, last 5: 0 W · 2 D · 3 L (2 scored, 7 conceded). Worcester, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (10 scored, 5 conceded).

Colchester vs Worcester: questions & answers

Who will win Colchester vs Worcester?

Our pick is Colchester to win with 82% confidence (best price 1.34). Bookmaker odds imply Colchester 72%, draw 17%, Worcester 11%.

Will both teams score in Colchester vs Worcester?

In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Colchester's matches and 50% of Worcester's.

What are the odds for Colchester vs Worcester?

Odds: Colchester 1.34, draw 5.62, Worcester 8.40. Our pick Colchester to win is available at 1.34.

When is the Colchester vs Worcester kick-off?

Colchester vs Worcester kicks off on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

Other FA Cup matches on 7 Nov

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Colchester vs Worcester prediction & odds

Colchester

Worcester

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds