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Luton vs Forest Green prediction & odds

Luton

17:00

Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:00

Forest Green

Odds 1X2

1Luton1.32Nito’s pickXDraw6.002Forest Green8.40

LutonvsForest Green

Nito’s pick1.32

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Luton

1.32

82%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 82% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: FA Cup
Kick-off: Sat 7 Nov 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Luton82%Confidence1.32Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.32 means bookmakers give it 76%; Nito's confidence is 82% (+6 pts)
Luton won 4 of their last 5 (goals 10–4); Forest Green won 2 (goals 11–6)
In 13 meetings Luton won 9, Forest Green won 1, 3 were drawn

Best price 1.32 means bookmakers give it 76%; Nito's confidence is 82% (+6 pts)

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 82% is not 100%.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Luton73%1.32

Draw16%6.00

Forest Green11%8.40

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.3%

Luton1.3273%Draw6.0016%Forest Green8.4011%

Double chance

Luton or Draw1.02Luton or Forest Green1.08Draw or Forest Green3.00

Total goals 2.5margin 6.4%

Over 2.51.3769%Under 2.52.9931%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.3%

Luton -1.51.8652%Forest Green +1.51.9848%

1st-half resultmargin 7.9%

Luton1.6456%Draw3.0331%Forest Green7.1613%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Luton1.9350%Forest Green1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

9Luton wins

3Draws

1Forest Green wins

Last matches: Luton

03.11.26League OneHuddersfieldLuton11D
31.10.26League OnePeterboroughLuton02W
27.10.26League OneLutonDoncaster31W
24.10.26League OneLutonLeicester21W
20.10.26League OneLutonBarnsley21W

Last matches: Forest Green

31.10.26ConferenceForest GreenHarrogate22D
28.10.26ConferenceForest GreenEastleigh20W
20.10.26FA CupForest GreenChesham50W
17.10.26FA CupCheshamForest Green00D
10.10.26ConferenceForest GreenHartlepool24L

Head-to-head matches

31.10.25FA CupLutonForest Green43W
28.04.18League TwoLutonForest Green31W
16.12.17League TwoForest GreenLuton02W
21.04.14ConferenceLutonForest Green41W
24.08.13ConferenceForest GreenLuton00D
09.02.13ConferenceLutonForest Green11D

3.08Avg goals62%Both scored54%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Luton vs Forest Green: head-to-head record

13 meetings since 2009: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

9Luton wins

3Draws

1Forest Green wins

27:13Goals (Luton : Forest Green)

3.08Goals per match

62%BTTS

77%Over 1.5

54%Over 2.5

31%Over 3.5

Luton at home: 5-2-021:9 goals in 7 games
Forest Green at home: 1-1-44:6 goals in 6 games
Luton's biggest win: 6–1Luton 6–1 Forest Green, 19 Oct 2010
Forest Green's biggest win: 3–0Forest Green 3–0 Luton, 20 Mar 2012

Meetings (13 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
31 Oct 2025	FA Cup	Luton	4–3	Forest Green
28 Apr 2018	League Two	Luton	3–1	Forest Green
16 Dec 2017	League Two	Forest Green	0–2	Luton
21 Apr 2014	Conference	Luton	4–1	Forest Green
24 Aug 2013	Conference	Forest Green	0–0	Luton
9 Feb 2013	Conference	Luton	1–1	Forest Green
27 Oct 2012	Conference	Forest Green	1–2	Luton
20 Mar 2012	Conference	Forest Green	3–0	Luton
16 Aug 2011	Conference	Luton	1–1	Forest Green
1 Mar 2011	Conference	Forest Green	0–1	Luton
19 Oct 2010	Conference	Luton	6–1	Forest Green
9 Mar 2010	Conference	Luton	2–1	Forest Green
18 Aug 2009	Conference	Forest Green	0–1	Luton

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Luton4W 1D 0L · goals 10–4

D03.11League OneAHuddersfield1–1
W31.10League OneAPeterborough2–0
W27.10League OneHDoncaster3–1
W24.10League OneHLeicester2–1
W20.10League OneHBarnsley2–1

Forest Green2W 2D 1L · goals 11–6

D31.10ConferenceHHarrogate2–2
W28.10ConferenceHEastleigh2–0
W20.10FA CupHChesham5–0
D17.10FA CupAChesham0–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

LutonForest Green

2.3Goals scored per game2.1

0.9Goals conceded per game1.4

70%Both teams scored60%

70%Over 2.5 goals60%

2Clean sheets4

10%Failed to score10%

4-0-1Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)0-3-0

Comments

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About this match

Luton vs Forest Green preview

Luton host Forest Green in the FA Cup on Sat, 7 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.

Form · last 5 matches

LutonDWWWW10 scored · 4 conceded

Forest GreenDWWDL11 scored · 6 conceded

Key facts · last 5

LutonForest Green

2.3Goals scored per game2.1

0.9Goals conceded per game1.4

70%Both teams scored60%

70%Over 2.5 goals60%

2Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

9Luton wins

3Draws

1Forest Green wins

13 meetings · 3.1 goals per game · both teams scored in 62%

Our pick

Luton to winLuton82%Confidence1.32Price

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Luton the favourite at 1.32 (73% implied), with the draw at 6.00 (16%).

Luton to win is our top pick for this game (82% confidence, best price 1.32).

Luton come into the game with DWWWW in their last 5 (10 scored, 4 conceded), while Forest Green have DWWDL (11 scored, 6 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 70% of Luton's recent games and 60% of Forest Green's, with both teams scoring in 70% and 60%.

Per game, Luton average 2.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Forest Green 2.1 and 1.4 (clean sheets: 4).

Head-to-head over 13 previous meetings: Luton 9 wins, Forest Green 1 wins, draws 3.

Those 13 games averaged 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.

The last meeting (2025-10-31) ended Luton 4–3 Forest Green.

Nito explains: Luton vs Forest Green

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Luton vs Forest Green mean?

The best prices are 1.32 for a Luton win, 6.00 for a draw and 8.40 for a Forest Green win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.32 returns 13.20 if Luton win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.3% removed) that is 73% Luton, 16% draw and 11% Forest Green.

What does Nito's pick "Luton to win" mean?

It wins only if Luton win; a draw or a Forest Green win loses. At 1.32, the price implies a 76% chance; Nito's data rates it at 82%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Luton and Forest Green matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of Luton's last 10 matches and 60% of Forest Green's last 10. In their 13 recorded meetings it was 62%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Luton reached that in 70% of their last 10 matches, Forest Green in 60% of their last 10. Their 13 meetings averaged 3.1 goals (54% over 2.5).

What does the form guide DWWWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Luton, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (10 scored, 4 conceded). Forest Green, last 5: 2 W · 2 D · 1 L (11 scored, 6 conceded).

Luton vs Forest Green: questions & answers

Who will win Luton vs Forest Green?

Our pick is Luton to win with 82% confidence (best price 1.32). Bookmaker odds imply Luton 73%, draw 16%, Forest Green 11%.

Will both teams score in Luton vs Forest Green?

Both teams scored in 62% of their 13 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of Luton's matches and 60% of Forest Green's.

What are the odds for Luton vs Forest Green?

Odds: Luton 1.32, draw 6.00, Forest Green 8.40. Our pick Luton to win is available at 1.32.

When is the Luton vs Forest Green kick-off?

Luton vs Forest Green kicks off on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Luton and Forest Green?

13 meetings: Luton 9 wins, 3 draws, Forest Green 1 wins. Those 13 games averaged 3.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 62% of them.

Luton vs Forest Green prediction & odds

Luton

Forest Green

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds