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Guiseley vs Sutton prediction & odds

Guiseley

17:00

Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:00

Sutton

Odds 1X2

1Guiseley3.60XDraw3.672Sutton2.06

GuiseleyvsSutton

Nito’s pick2.02

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

2.02

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: FA Cup
Kick-off: Sat 7 Nov 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence2.02Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 2.02 means bookmakers give it 50%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+10 pts)
3+ goals in 60% of Guiseley's last 5 and 40% of Sutton's
Goals per game in the last 5: Guiseley matches 3.0, Sutton matches 2.8
Their 4 meetings average 2.5 goals; both teams scored in 25%

Best price 2.02 means bookmakers give it 50%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+10 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Guiseley27%3.60

Draw26%3.67

Sutton47%2.06

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.6%

Guiseley3.6027%Draw3.6726%Sutton2.0647%

Double chance

Guiseley or Draw1.79Guiseley or Sutton1.19Draw or Sutton1.19

Total goals 2.5margin 7.0%

Over 2.51.7454%Under 2.52.0246%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.9%

Guiseley +0.51.8252%Sutton -0.52.0048%

1st-half resultmargin 7.7%

Guiseley3.9124%Draw2.3440%Sutton2.5437%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Guiseley1.9549%Sutton1.9151%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

1Guiseley wins

0Draws

3Sutton wins

Last matches: Guiseley

03.11.26Non League PremierGuiseleyLeek41W
31.10.26Non League PremierRedcar AthleticGuiseley22D
24.10.26FA TrophyWarrington RylandsGuiseley13W
20.10.26Non League PremierGuiseleyCleethorpes21W
17.10.26FA CupLeistonGuiseley03W

Last matches: Sutton

03.11.26National League CupSuttonSouthampton U2110W
31.10.26ConferenceWorthingSutton03W
28.10.26ConferenceSuttonAldershot20W
24.10.26ConferenceHarrogateSutton31L
17.10.26FA CupSuttonTruro10W

Head-to-head matches

24.02.18ConferenceSuttonGuiseley40L
25.11.17ConferenceGuiseleySutton02L
14.02.17ConferenceGuiseleySutton21W
01.10.16ConferenceSuttonGuiseley10L

2.50Avg goals25%Both scored50%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Guiseley vs Sutton: head-to-head record

4 meetings since 2016: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

1Guiseley wins

0Draws

3Sutton wins

2:8Goals (Guiseley : Sutton)

2.50Goals per match

25%BTTS

75%Over 1.5

50%Over 2.5

25%Over 3.5

Guiseley at home: 1-0-12:3 goals in 2 games
Sutton at home: 2-0-05:0 goals in 2 games
Guiseley's biggest win: 2–1Guiseley 2–1 Sutton, 14 Feb 2017
Sutton's biggest win: 4–0Sutton 4–0 Guiseley, 24 Feb 2018

Meetings (4 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
24 Feb 2018	Conference	Sutton	4–0	Guiseley
25 Nov 2017	Conference	Guiseley	0–2	Sutton
14 Feb 2017	Conference	Guiseley	2–1	Sutton
1 Oct 2016	Conference	Sutton	1–0	Guiseley

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Guiseley4W 1D 0L · goals 14–5

W03.11Non League PremierHLeek4–1
D31.10Non League PremierARedcar Athletic2–2
W24.10FA TrophyAWarrington Rylands3–1
W20.10Non League PremierHCleethorpes2–1
W17.10FA CupALeiston3–0

Sutton4W 0D 1L · goals 8–3

W03.11National League CupHSouthampton U211–0
W31.10ConferenceAWorthing3–0
W28.10ConferenceHAldershot2–0
L24.10ConferenceAHarrogate1–3
W17.10FA CupHTruro1–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

GuiseleySutton

2.2Goals scored per game1.5

0.8Goals conceded per game1.3

50%Both teams scored40%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

4Clean sheets4

10%Failed to score20%

4-0-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-1-2

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About this match

Guiseley vs Sutton preview

Guiseley host Sutton in the FA Cup on Sat, 7 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.

Form · last 5 matches

GuiseleyWDWWW14 scored · 5 conceded

SuttonWWWLW8 scored · 3 conceded

Key facts · last 5

GuiseleySutton

2.2Goals scored per game1.5

0.8Goals conceded per game1.3

50%Both teams scored40%

60%Over 2.5 goals40%

4Clean sheets4

Head-to-head in numbers

1Guiseley wins

0Draws

3Sutton wins

4 meetings · 2.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 25%

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.560%Confidence2.02Price

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 3.60 on Guiseley, 3.67 on the draw and 2.06 on Sutton, which is roughly 27%, 26% and 47% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Our strongest pick is Under 2.5 goals with 60% confidence at a best price of 2.02.

Recent form over the last 5: Guiseley WDWWW (goals 14–5), Sutton WWWLW (goals 8–3).

Both teams scored in 50% of Guiseley's recent games and 40% of Sutton's; over 2.5 goals landed in 60% and 40% respectively.

Per game, Guiseley average 2.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (clean sheets: 4), Sutton 1.5 and 1.3 (clean sheets: 4).

Across 4 head-to-head games the record reads 1–0–3 (wins–draws–losses) from Guiseley's side.

Those 4 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

The last meeting (2018-02-24) ended Sutton 4–0 Guiseley.

Nito explains: Guiseley vs Sutton

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Guiseley vs Sutton mean?

The best prices are 3.60 for a Guiseley win, 3.67 for a draw and 2.06 for a Sutton win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 3.60 returns 36.00 if Guiseley win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.6% removed) that is 27% Guiseley, 26% draw and 47% Sutton.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 2.02, the price implies a 50% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Guiseley and Sutton matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 50% of Guiseley's last 10 matches and 40% of Sutton's last 10. In their 4 recorded meetings it was 25%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Guiseley reached that in 60% of their last 10 matches, Sutton in 40% of their last 10. Their 4 meetings averaged 2.5 goals (50% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WDWWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Guiseley, last 5: 4 W · 1 D · 0 L (14 scored, 5 conceded). Sutton, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (8 scored, 3 conceded).

Guiseley vs Sutton: questions & answers

Who will win Guiseley vs Sutton?

Bookmaker odds imply Guiseley 27%, draw 26%, Sutton 47%.

Will both teams score in Guiseley vs Sutton?

Both teams scored in 25% of their 4 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 50% of Guiseley's matches and 40% of Sutton's.

What are the odds for Guiseley vs Sutton?

Odds: Guiseley 3.60, draw 3.67, Sutton 2.06. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 2.02.

When is the Guiseley vs Sutton kick-off?

Guiseley vs Sutton kicks off on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Guiseley and Sutton?

4 meetings: Guiseley 1 wins, 0 draws, Sutton 3 wins. Those 4 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

Guiseley vs Sutton prediction & odds

Guiseley

Sutton

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds