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Spain U21 vs Japan U21 prediction & odds

Spain U21

20:00

Kick-off Fri 13 Nov, 20:00

Japan U21

Odds 1X2

1Spain U211.37Nito’s pickXDraw4.752Japan U216.87

Spain U21vsJapan U21

Nito’s pick1.37

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Spain U21

1.37

80%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 80% is not 100%.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Friendly International
Kick-off: Fri 13 Nov 20:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Spain U2180%Confidence1.37Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.37 means bookmakers give it 73%; Nito's confidence is 80% (+7 pts)
Spain U21 won 4 of their last 5 (goals 30–3); Japan U21 won 2 (goals 5–4)

Best price 1.37 means bookmakers give it 73%; Nito's confidence is 80% (+7 pts)

Nito’s note: The numbers lean clearly one way here. Still football, though: 80% is not 100%.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Spain U21High confidence

Confidence80%

Indicative price1.37

Spain U21 to win: our confidence is 80%, 7 points above the 73% the best price of 1.37 implies.

Both teams to scoreYes

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.91

Both teams to score: Yes: our confidence is 60%, 8 points above the 52% the best price of 1.91 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Spain U2167%1.37

Draw19%4.75

Japan U2113%6.87

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 8.6%

Spain U211.3767%Draw4.7519%Japan U216.8713%

Total goals 2.5margin 7.3%

Over 2.51.5859%Under 2.52.2741%

Asian handicapmargin 5.6%

Spain U21 -1.251.8551%Japan U21 +1.251.9449%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

Last matches: Spain U21

06.10.26Euro Qualification U21Spain U21Romania U2171W
01.10.26Euro Qualification U21San Marino U21Spain U21013W
25.09.26Euro Qualification U21Finland U21Spain U2121L
31.03.26Euro Qualification U21Spain U21Kosovo U2120W
27.03.26Euro Qualification U21Cyprus U21Spain U2107W

Last matches: Japan U21

08.06.26FriendliesJapan U21Ukraine U2130W
05.06.26FriendliesUzbekistan U23Japan U2101W
29.03.26FriendliesSouth Korea U23Japan U2121L
27.03.26FriendliesJapan U21USA U2102L

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Spain U214W 0D 1L · goals 30–3

W06.10Euro Qualification U21HRomania U217–1
W01.10Euro Qualification U21ASan Marino U2113–0
L25.09Euro Qualification U21AFinland U211–2
W31.03Euro Qualification U21HKosovo U212–0
W27.03Euro Qualification U21ACyprus U217–0

Japan U212W 0D 2L · goals 5–4

W08.06FriendliesHUkraine U213–0
W05.06FriendliesAUzbekistan U231–0
L29.03FriendliesASouth Korea U231–2
L27.03FriendliesHUSA U210–2

Goals and trends · last 4

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Spain U21Japan U21

4.7Goals scored per game1.3

0.5Goals conceded per game1.0

40%Both teams scored25%

80%Over 2.5 goals50%

6Clean sheets2

0%Failed to score25%

5-0-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-0-1

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About this match

Spain U21 vs Japan U21 preview

Friendly International fixture: Spain U21 welcome Japan U21 on Fri, 13 Nov 2026 (20:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

Spain U21WWLWW30 scored · 3 conceded

Japan U21WWLL5 scored · 4 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Spain U21Japan U21

4.7Goals scored per game1.3

0.5Goals conceded per game1.0

40%Both teams scored25%

80%Over 2.5 goals50%

6Clean sheets2

Our pick

Spain U21 to winSpain U2180%Confidence1.37Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Spain U21 the favourite at 1.37 (67% implied), with the draw at 4.75 (19%).

Spain U21 to win is our top pick for this game (80% confidence, best price 1.37).

We also have Both teams to score: Yes (60%, 1.91).

Spain U21 come into the game with WWLWW in their last 4 (30 scored, 3 conceded), while Japan U21 have WWLL (5 scored, 4 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 80% of Spain U21's recent games and 50% of Japan U21's, with both teams scoring in 40% and 25%.

Per game, Spain U21 average 4.7 goals scored and 0.5 conceded (clean sheets: 6), Japan U21 1.3 and 1.0 (clean sheets: 2).

Nito explains: Spain U21 vs Japan U21

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Spain U21 vs Japan U21 mean?

The best prices are 1.37 for a Spain U21 win, 4.75 for a draw and 6.87 for a Japan U21 win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.37 returns 13.70 if Spain U21 win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 8.6% removed) that is 67% Spain U21, 19% draw and 13% Japan U21.

What does Nito's pick "Spain U21 to win" mean?

It wins only if Spain U21 win; a draw or a Japan U21 win loses. At 1.37, the price implies a 73% chance; Nito's data rates it at 80%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Spain U21 and Japan U21 matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 40% of Spain U21's last 10 matches and 25% of Japan U21's last 4.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Spain U21 reached that in 80% of their last 10 matches, Japan U21 in 50% of their last 4.

What does the form guide WWLWW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Spain U21, last 5: 4 W · 0 D · 1 L (30 scored, 3 conceded). Japan U21, last 4: 2 W · 0 D · 2 L (5 scored, 4 conceded).

Spain U21 vs Japan U21: questions & answers

Who will win Spain U21 vs Japan U21?

Our pick is Spain U21 to win with 80% confidence (best price 1.37). Bookmaker odds imply Spain U21 67%, draw 19%, Japan U21 13%.

Will both teams score in Spain U21 vs Japan U21?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is Yes (60% confidence, 1.91). In recent games both teams scored in 40% of Spain U21's matches and 25% of Japan U21's.

What are the odds for Spain U21 vs Japan U21?

Odds: Spain U21 1.37, draw 4.75, Japan U21 6.87. Our pick Spain U21 to win is available at 1.37.

When is the Spain U21 vs Japan U21 kick-off?

Spain U21 vs Japan U21 kicks off on Fri, 13 Nov 2026 at 20:00 (GMT+2).

Other Friendly International matches on 13 Nov

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Spain U21 vs Japan U21 prediction & odds

Spain U21

Japan U21

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds