Friendly InternationalUpcoming

Lithuania vs Suriname prediction & odds

Lithuania

19:00
Kick-off Thu 12 Nov, 19:00

Suriname

Odds 1X2
1Lithuania2.81XDraw3.202Suriname2.64
LithuaniavsSurinameNito’s pick2.00

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Both teams to scoreYes
2.00

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
Friendly International
Kick-off

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Both teams to scoreYes60%Confidence2.00Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 2.00 means bookmakers give it 50%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+10 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Lithuania34%2.81
Draw30%3.20
Suriname36%2.64

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.7%
Lithuania2.8134%Draw3.2030%Suriname2.6436%
Double chance
Lithuania or Draw1.38Lithuania or Suriname1.28Draw or Suriname1.36
Total goals 2.5margin 6.3%
Over 2.52.4239%Under 2.51.5461%
More markets (3)
Asian handicapmargin 4.8%
Lithuania 01.9748%Suriname 01.8552%
1st-half resultmargin 7.2%
Lithuania3.5626%Draw2.0246%Suriname3.3828%
Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%
Lithuania1.9649%Suriname1.8851%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Comments

What do you think about this match and Nito's pick? Be kind — no links, no advertising.

About this match

Lithuania vs Suriname preview

Lithuania host Suriname in the Friendly International on Thu, 12 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 19:00.