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Lithuania vs Suriname prediction & odds

Lithuania

19:00

Kick-off Thu 12 Nov, 19:00

Suriname

Odds 1X2

1Lithuania2.99XDraw3.202Suriname2.60

LithuaniavsSuriname

Nito’s pick1.53

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

1.53

70%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: Friendly International
Kick-off: Thu 12 Nov 19:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.570%Confidence1.53Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.53 means bookmakers give it 65%; Nito's confidence is 70% (+5 pts)
3+ goals in 30% of Lithuania's last 5 and 70% of Suriname's
Goals per game in the last 5: Lithuania matches 2.2, Suriname matches 3.1

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 70% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Both teams to scoreNo

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.80

Both teams to score: No: our confidence is 60%, 4 points above the 56% the best price of 1.80 implies.

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5High confidence

Confidence70%

Indicative price1.53

Under 2.5 goals: our confidence is 70%, 5 points above the 65% the best price of 1.53 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Lithuania32%2.99

Draw30%3.20

Suriname37%2.60

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.2%

Lithuania2.9932%Draw3.2030%Suriname2.6037%

Double chance

Lithuania or Draw1.38Lithuania or Suriname1.28Draw or Suriname1.36

Total goals 2.5margin 5.4%

Over 2.52.5038%Under 2.51.5362%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.2%

Lithuania 02.0746%Suriname 01.7954%

1st-half resultmargin 5.7%

Lithuania3.7425%Draw2.0347%Suriname3.3728%

Odd / even goalsmargin 4.2%

Lithuania1.9649%Suriname1.8851%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

Last matches: Lithuania

04.10.26UEFA Nations LeagueAzerbaijanLithuania10L
30.09.26FriendliesLithuaniaAndorra30W
27.09.26UEFA Nations LeagueLithuaniaAzerbaijan11D
24.09.26UEFA Nations LeagueLiechtensteinLithuania02W
09.06.26Baltic CupEstoniaLithuania10L

Last matches: Suriname

Caribbean CupSurinameGuyana32W
Caribbean CupJamaicaSuriname10L
Caribbean CupSurinameHaiti24L
Caribbean CupTrinidad and TobagoSuriname12W
06.10.26Concacaf Nations LeagueGuatemalaSuriname10L

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Lithuania2W 1D 2L · goals 6–3

L04.10UEFA Nations LeagueAAzerbaijan0–1
W30.09FriendliesHAndorra3–0
D27.09UEFA Nations LeagueHAzerbaijan1–1
W24.09UEFA Nations LeagueALiechtenstein2–0
L09.06Baltic CupAEstonia0–1

Suriname2W 0D 3L · goals 7–9

W01.01Caribbean CupHGuyana3–2
L01.01Caribbean CupAJamaica0–1
L01.01Caribbean CupHHaiti2–4
W01.01Caribbean CupATrinidad and Tobago2–1
L06.10Concacaf Nations LeagueAGuatemala0–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

LithuaniaSuriname

1.0Goals scored per game1.4

1.2Goals conceded per game1.7

20%Both teams scored70%

30%Over 2.5 goals70%

3Clean sheets1

50%Failed to score30%

2-1-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)2-0-4

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

LithuaniaSuriname

WC Qualifying Europe 2026 · 8 gamesCONCACAF Gold Cup 2025 · 3 games

0.8Goals scored1.0

1.9Goals conceded2.0

2.3Corners4.3

8.6Shots9.7

43%Possession51%

2.1Yellow cards2.0

13%Clean sheets33%

50%Failed to score67%

0-2-2Home / away record (W-D-L)0-1-1

Comments

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About this match

Lithuania vs Suriname preview

Lithuania host Suriname in the Friendly International on Thu, 12 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 19:00.

Form · last 5 matches

LithuaniaLWDWL6 scored · 3 conceded

SurinameWLLWL7 scored · 9 conceded

Key facts · last 5

LithuaniaSuriname

1.0Goals scored per game1.4

1.2Goals conceded per game1.7

20%Both teams scored70%

30%Over 2.5 goals70%

3Clean sheets1

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.570%Confidence1.53Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The market sees little between the sides: Lithuania 2.99 (32%), draw 3.20 (30%), Suriname 2.60 (37%).

Our strongest pick is Under 2.5 goals with 70% confidence at a best price of 1.53.

We also have Both teams to score: No (60%, 1.80).

Lithuania come into the game with LWDWL in their last 5 (6 scored, 3 conceded), while Suriname have WLLWL (7 scored, 9 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 30% of Lithuania's recent games and 70% of Suriname's, with both teams scoring in 20% and 70%.

Per game, Lithuania average 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (clean sheets: 3), Suriname 1.4 and 1.7 (clean sheets: 1).

Nito explains: Lithuania vs Suriname

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Lithuania vs Suriname mean?

The best prices are 2.99 for a Lithuania win, 3.20 for a draw and 2.60 for a Suriname win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.99 returns 29.90 if Lithuania win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 3.2% removed) that is 32% Lithuania, 30% draw and 37% Suriname.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.53, the price implies a 65% chance; Nito's data rates it at 70%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Lithuania and Suriname matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 20% of Lithuania's last 10 matches and 70% of Suriname's last 10.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Lithuania reached that in 30% of their last 10 matches, Suriname in 70% of their last 10.

What does the form guide LWDWL mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Lithuania, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (6 scored, 3 conceded). Suriname, last 5: 2 W · 0 D · 3 L (7 scored, 9 conceded).

Lithuania vs Suriname: questions & answers

Who will win Lithuania vs Suriname?

Bookmaker odds imply Lithuania 32%, draw 30%, Suriname 37%.

Will both teams score in Lithuania vs Suriname?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (60% confidence, 1.80). In recent games both teams scored in 20% of Lithuania's matches and 70% of Suriname's.

What are the odds for Lithuania vs Suriname?

Odds: Lithuania 2.99, draw 3.20, Suriname 2.60. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.53.

When is the Lithuania vs Suriname kick-off?

Lithuania vs Suriname kicks off on Thu, 12 Nov 2026 at 19:00 (GMT+2).

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Lithuania vs Suriname prediction & odds

Lithuania

Suriname

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds