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Newport vs Walsall prediction & odds

Newport

17:00

Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:00

Walsall

Odds 1X2

1Newport2.60XDraw3.452Walsall2.70

NewportvsWalsall

Nito’s pick1.91

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5

1.91

60%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: FA Cup
Kick-off: Sat 7 Nov 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence1.91Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.91 means bookmakers give it 52%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+8 pts)
3+ goals in 50% of Newport's last 5 and 50% of Walsall's
Goals per game in the last 5: Newport matches 2.6, Walsall matches 3.3
Their 15 meetings average 2.5 goals; both teams scored in 53%

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Newport37%2.60

Draw28%3.45

Walsall35%2.70

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.5%

Newport2.6037%Draw3.4528%Walsall2.7035%

Double chance

Newport or Draw1.38Newport or Walsall1.25Draw or Walsall1.39

Total goals 2.5margin 5.3%

Over 2.51.8950%Under 2.51.9150%

More markets (5)

Asian handicapmargin 4.8%

Newport 01.8651%Walsall 01.9649%

1st-half resultmargin 7.1%

Newport3.1430%Draw2.2342%Walsall3.2928%

Draw no betmargin 5.8%

Newport1.8850%Walsall1.9050%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.7%

Newport1.9649%Walsall1.9051%

Draw No Bet (1st Half)margin 5.8%

Yes1.8850%No1.9050%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

4Newport wins

7Draws

4Walsall wins

Last matches: Newport

03.11.26EFL TrophyNewportCrystal Palace U2112L
30.10.26League TwoNewportChesterfield41W
24.10.26League TwoCheltenhamNewport10L
20.10.26League TwoRotherhamNewport22D
17.10.26League TwoNewportYork City11D

Last matches: Walsall

31.10.26League TwoColchesterWalsall13W

Newport vs Walsall: head-to-head record

15 meetings since 2017: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

4Newport wins

7Draws

4Walsall wins

19:19Goals (Newport : Walsall)

2.53Goals per match

53%BTTS

67%Over 1.5

47%Over 2.5

20%Over 3.5

Newport at home: 2-4-210:11 goals in 8 games
Walsall at home: 2-3-28:9 goals in 7 games
Newport's biggest win: 0–3Walsall 0–3 Newport, 10 Feb 2024
Walsall's biggest win: 2–4Newport 2–4 Walsall, 8 Nov 2025

Meetings (15 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	League Two	Walsall	2–1	Newport
8 Nov 2025	League Two	Newport	2–4

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Newport1W 2D 2L · goals 8–7

L03.11EFL TrophyHCrystal Palace U211–2
W30.10League TwoHChesterfield4–1
L24.10League TwoACheltenham0–1
D20.10League TwoARotherham2–2
D17.10League TwoHYork City1–1

Walsall3W 1D 1L · goals 12–8

W31.10League TwoAColchester3–1
L26.10League TwoHSalford2–4
W20.10League TwoHOldham3–0
D17.10League TwoASwindon1–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

NewportWalsall

1.5Goals scored per game1.7

1.1Goals conceded per game1.6

60%Both teams scored70%

50%Over 2.5 goals50%

3Clean sheets3

20%Failed to score10%

3-1-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-3-0

Season stats

Per game this season, each team in its own league

NewportWalsall

League Two 2026/2027 · 13 gamesLeague Two 2026/2027 · 7 games

1.4Goals scored1.4

1.2Goals conceded0.6

4.2Corners6.7

12.2Shots15.7

39%Possession57%

1.8Yellow cards2.0

31%Clean sheets71%

31%Failed to score43%

3-3-0Home / away record (W-D-L)1-2-0

Comments

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About this match

Newport vs Walsall preview

On Sat, 7 Nov 2026 at 17:00, Newport take on Walsall in the FA Cup.

Form · last 5 matches

NewportLWLDD8 scored · 7 conceded

WalsallWLWDW12 scored · 8 conceded

Key facts · last 5

NewportWalsall

1.5Goals scored per game1.7

1.1Goals conceded per game1.6

60%Both teams scored70%

50%Over 2.5 goals50%

3Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

4Newport wins

7Draws

4Walsall wins

15 meetings · 2.5 goals per game · both teams scored in 53%

Our pick

Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.560%Confidence

Nito explains: Newport vs Walsall

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Newport vs Walsall mean?

The best prices are 2.60 for a Newport win, 3.45 for a draw and 2.70 for a Walsall win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 2.60 returns 26.00 if Newport win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.5% removed) that is 37% Newport, 28% draw and 35% Walsall.

What does Nito's pick "Under 2.5 goals" mean?

It wins if the match has fewer than 2.5 goals in total. At 1.91, the price implies a 52% chance; Nito's data rates it at 60%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Newport and Walsall matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 60% of Newport's last 10 matches and 70% of Walsall's last 10. In their 15 recorded meetings it was 53%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Newport reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Walsall in 50% of their last 10. Their 15 meetings averaged 2.5 goals (47% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LWLDD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Newport, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (8 scored, 7 conceded). Walsall, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (12 scored, 8 conceded).

Newport vs Walsall: questions & answers

Who will win Newport vs Walsall?

Bookmaker odds imply Newport 37%, draw 28%, Walsall 35%.

Will both teams score in Newport vs Walsall?

Both teams scored in 53% of their 15 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 60% of Newport's matches and 70% of Walsall's.

What are the odds for Newport vs Walsall?

Odds: Newport 2.60, draw 3.45, Walsall 2.70. Our pick Under 2.5 goals is available at 1.91.

When is the Newport vs Walsall kick-off?

Newport vs Walsall kicks off on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Newport and Walsall?

15 meetings: Newport 4 wins, 7 draws, Walsall 4 wins. Those 15 games averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.

Newport vs Walsall prediction & odds

Newport

Walsall

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds