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York City vs Northampton prediction & odds

York City

17:00

Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:00

Northampton

Odds 1X2

1York City1.88XDraw3.902Northampton4.20

York CityvsNorthampton

Nito’s pick1.95

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Both teams to scoreNo

1.95

65%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: FA Cup
Kick-off: Sat 7 Nov 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Both teams to scoreNo65%Confidence1.95Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.95 means bookmakers give it 51%; Nito's confidence is 65% (+14 pts)
Both teams scored in 70% of York City's last 5 and 30% of Northampton's
Goals per game in the last 5: York City matches 3.1, Northampton matches 1.7
Their 17 meetings average 2.1 goals; both teams scored in 47%

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 65% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)York City

Confidence60%

Indicative price1.88

We rate York City to win at 60% — the price of 1.88 implies only 53%.

Both teams to scoreNoHigh confidence

Confidence65%

Indicative price1.95

We rate Both teams to score: No at 65% — the price of 1.95 implies only 51%.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

York City52%1.88

Draw25%3.90

Northampton23%4.20

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 2.6%

York City1.8852%Draw3.9025%Northampton4.2023%

Double chance

York City or Draw1.13York City or Northampton1.19Draw or Northampton1.95

Total goals 2.5margin 5.0%

Over 2.51.8851%Under 2.51.9349%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 4.8%

York City -0.51.8053%Northampton +0.52.0347%

1st-half resultmargin 7.3%

York City2.3739%Draw2.2841%Northampton4.7020%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

York City1.9450%Northampton1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

4York City wins

7Draws

6Northampton wins

Last matches: York City

31.10.26League TwoGrimsbyYork City52L
27.10.26League TwoBarnetYork City31L
24.10.26League TwoYork CityPort Vale20W
20.10.26League TwoYork CityAccrington11D
17.10.26League TwoNewportYork City11D

Last matches: Northampton

03.11.26League TwoNorthamptonOldham01L
31.10.26League TwoAccringtonNorthampton11D
24.10.26League TwoNorthamptonColchester20W
20.10.26League TwoNorthamptonTranmere01L
17.10.26League TwoGrimsbyNorthampton02W

Head-to-head matches

10.10.26League TwoYork CityNorthampton11D
23.02.16League TwoYork CityNorthampton12L
06.02.16League TwoNorthamptonYork City20L
21.02.15League TwoNorthamptonYork City30L
16.08.14League TwoYork CityNorthampton11D
11.01.14League TwoNorthamptonYork City02W

2.06Avg goals47%Both scored29%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

York City vs Northampton: head-to-head record

17 meetings since 1997: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

4York City wins

7Draws

6Northampton wins

15:20Goals (York City : Northampton)

2.06Goals per match

47%BTTS

76%Over 1.5

29%Over 2.5

6%Over 3.5

York City at home: 2-5-27:7 goals in 9 games
Northampton at home: 4-2-213:8 goals in 8 games
York City's biggest win: 0–2Northampton 0–2 York City, 11 Jan 2014
Northampton's biggest win: 3–0Northampton 3–0 York City, 21 Feb 2015

Meetings (17 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
10 Oct 2026	League Two	York City	1–1	Northampton
23 Feb 2016	League Two	York City	1–2	Northampton
6 Feb 2016	League Two	Northampton	2–0	York City
21 Feb 2015	League Two	Northampton	3–0	York City
16 Aug 2014	League Two	York City	1–1	Northampton
11 Jan 2014	League Two	Northampton	0–2	York City
3 Aug 2013	League Two	York City	1–0	Northampton
13 Apr 2013	League Two	Northampton	0–2	York City
6 Nov 2012	League Two	York City	1–1	Northampton
16 Jan 2004	League Two	Northampton	2–1	York City
15 Aug 2003	League Two	York City	1–0	Northampton
4 Feb 2000	League Two	Northampton	3–0	York City
29 Aug 1999	League Two	York City	0–1	Northampton
12 Apr 1999	League One	Northampton	2–2	York City
27 Nov 1998	League One	York City	1–1	Northampton
1 May 1998	League One	York City	0–0	Northampton
20 Oct 1997	League One	Northampton	1–1	York City

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

York City1W 2D 2L · goals 7–10

L31.10League TwoAGrimsby2–5
L27.10League TwoABarnet1–3
W24.10League TwoHPort Vale2–0
D20.10League TwoHAccrington1–1
D17.10League TwoANewport1–1

Northampton2W 1D 2L · goals 5–3

L03.11League TwoHOldham0–1
D31.10League TwoAAccrington1–1
W24.10League TwoHColchester2–0
L20.10League TwoHTranmere0–1
W17.10League TwoAGrimsby2–0

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

York CityNorthampton

1.3Goals scored per game0.8

1.8Goals conceded per game0.9

70%Both teams scored30%

50%Over 2.5 goals10%

2Clean sheets3

10%Failed to score40%

2-2-2Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-2-2

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About this match

York City vs Northampton preview

FA Cup fixture: York City welcome Northampton on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 (17:00 kick-off).

Form · last 5 matches

York CityLLWDD7 scored · 10 conceded

NorthamptonLDWLW5 scored · 3 conceded

Key facts · last 5

York CityNorthampton

1.3Goals scored per game0.8

1.8Goals conceded per game0.9

70%Both teams scored30%

50%Over 2.5 goals10%

2Clean sheets3

Head-to-head in numbers

4York City wins

7Draws

6Northampton wins

17 meetings · 2.1 goals per game · both teams scored in 47%

Our pick

Both teams to scoreNo65%Confidence1.95Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

The best available prices are 1.88 on York City, 3.90 on the draw and 4.20 on Northampton, which is roughly 52%, 25% and 23% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Our strongest pick is Both teams to score: No with 65% confidence at a best price of 1.95.

We also have York City to win (60%, 1.88).

Recent form over the last 5: York City LLWDD (goals 7–10), Northampton LDWLW (goals 5–3).

Both teams scored in 70% of York City's recent games and 30% of Northampton's; over 2.5 goals landed in 50% and 10% respectively.

Per game, York City average 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (clean sheets: 2), Northampton 0.8 and 0.9 (clean sheets: 3).

Across 17 head-to-head games the record reads 4–7–6 (wins–draws–losses) from York City's side.

Those 17 games averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.

The last meeting (2026-10-10) ended York City 1–1 Northampton.

Nito explains: York City vs Northampton

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for York City vs Northampton mean?

The best prices are 1.88 for a York City win, 3.90 for a draw and 4.20 for a Northampton win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.88 returns 18.80 if York City win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 2.6% removed) that is 52% York City, 25% draw and 23% Northampton.

What does Nito's pick "Both teams to score: No" mean?

It wins if at least one team fails to score. At 1.95, the price implies a 51% chance; Nito's data rates it at 65%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do York City and Northampton matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 70% of York City's last 10 matches and 30% of Northampton's last 10. In their 17 recorded meetings it was 47%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. York City reached that in 50% of their last 10 matches, Northampton in 10% of their last 10. Their 17 meetings averaged 2.1 goals (29% over 2.5).

What does the form guide LLWDD mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. York City, last 5: 1 W · 2 D · 2 L (7 scored, 10 conceded). Northampton, last 5: 2 W · 1 D · 2 L (5 scored, 3 conceded).

York City vs Northampton: questions & answers

Who will win York City vs Northampton?

Our pick is York City to win with 60% confidence (best price 1.88). Bookmaker odds imply York City 52%, draw 25%, Northampton 23%.

Will both teams score in York City vs Northampton?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (65% confidence, 1.95). Both teams scored in 47% of their 17 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 70% of York City's matches and 30% of Northampton's.

What are the odds for York City vs Northampton?

Odds: York City 1.88, draw 3.90, Northampton 4.20. Our pick Both teams to score: No is available at 1.95.

When is the York City vs Northampton kick-off?

York City vs Northampton kicks off on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between York City and Northampton?

17 meetings: York City 4 wins, 7 draws, Northampton 6 wins. Those 17 games averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.

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York City vs Northampton prediction & odds

York City

Northampton

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds