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Oldham vs Sheffield Wed prediction & odds

Oldham

19:15
Kick-off Sun 8 Nov, 19:15

Sheffield Wed

Odds 1X2
1Oldham3.40XDraw3.802Sheffield Wed2.08
Boundary Park
OldhamvsSheffield WedNito’s pick2.35

Nito’s pick

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Total goals 2.5Under 2.5
2.35

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

 

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition
FA Cup
Kick-off
Stadium
Boundary Park
Capacity
13,513
City
Oldham, Greater Manchester

Our pick: why Nito chose it

?Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Total goals 2.5Under 2.560%Confidence2.35Price

Why
?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

  • Best price 2.35 means bookmakers give it 43%; Nito's confidence is 60% (+17 pts)

Nito’s note: Close call. 60% is barely past our bar: a lean, not a lock.

Win probability

?Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Oldham28%3.40
Draw25%3.80
Sheffield Wed46%2.08

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

?Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 3.8%
Oldham3.4028%Draw3.8025%Sheffield Wed2.0846%
Double chance
Oldham or Draw1.76Oldham or Sheffield Wed1.17Draw or Sheffield Wed1.23
Total goals 2.5margin 6.7%
Over 2.51.5660%Under 2.52.3540%
More markets (3)
Asian handicapmargin 5.5%
Oldham +0.251.9948%Sheffield Wed -0.251.8152%
1st-half resultmargin 7.1%
Oldham3.6126%Draw2.4938%Sheffield Wed2.5537%
Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%
Oldham1.9450%Sheffield Wed1.9250%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Comments

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About this match

Oldham vs Sheffield Wed preview

FA Cup fixture: Oldham welcome Sheffield Wed on Sun, 8 Nov 2026 (19:15 kick-off).