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Port Vale vs Scunthorpe prediction & odds

Port Vale

17:00

Kick-off Sat 7 Nov, 17:00

Scunthorpe

Odds 1X2

1Port Vale1.59Nito’s pickXDraw4.302Scunthorpe5.60

Port ValevsScunthorpe

Nito’s pick1.59

Nito’s pick

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Our strongest pick for this match, with the current price

Match result (1X2)Port Vale

1.59

68%Confidence

Do you agree with Nito's pick?

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 68% by our numbers.

Why Nito chose it →

Match information

Competition, kick-off in your time zone, venue and referee

Match information

Competition: FA Cup
Kick-off: Sat 7 Nov 17:00 EET

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

The pick, the price and the numbers behind it

Match result (1X2)Port Vale68%Confidence1.59Price

Why
?
Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

Best price 1.59 means bookmakers give it 63%; Nito's confidence is 68% (+5 pts)
Port Vale won 3 of their last 5 (goals 11–5); Scunthorpe won 1 (goals 9–13)
In 19 meetings Port Vale won 4, Scunthorpe won 8, 7 were drawn

Nito’s note: A reasonable lean, not a certainty: about 68% by our numbers.

All our picks for this match

Confidence is our model's estimated chance that the pick wins. 65% means we expect it to land about 2 times in 3. It is an estimate, not a guarantee.

Every market where our confidence is at least 60%

Our picks for this match

Match result (1X2)Port ValeHigh confidence

Confidence68%

Indicative price1.59

Port Vale to win: our confidence is 68%, 5 points above the 63% the best price of 1.59 implies.

Both teams to scoreNo

Confidence60%

Indicative price2.02

Both teams to score: No: our confidence is 60%, 10 points above the 50% the best price of 2.02 implies.

Picks can change until kick-off; the version live at kick-off is the one settled, at a flat 1-unit stake. Quarter lines are settled as two half-stakes. 18+

Today's acca →

Win probability

Implied probability = 1 ÷ odds. We remove the bookmaker's margin so the three outcomes add up to 100%.

Bookmaker 1X2 prices turned into chances, with the margin removed

Port Vale60%1.59

Draw22%4.30

Scunthorpe17%5.60

Probabilities derived from live 1X2 odds (bookmaker margin removed).

Odds comparison

Prices come from our odds feed and are indicative — the bookmaker’s own price may differ. Arrows show how the price moved since we first recorded it.

Match odds by market, from our odds feed. ↑ ↓ = the price moved since we first saw it

Odds

Match result (1X2)margin 4.0%

Port Vale1.5960%Draw4.3022%Scunthorpe5.6017%

Double chance

Port Vale or Draw1.08Port Vale or Scunthorpe1.16Draw or Scunthorpe2.17

Total goals 2.75margin 6.4%

Over 2.751.8850%Under 2.751.8850%

More markets (3)

Asian handicapmargin 6.1%

Port Vale -11.9848%Scunthorpe +11.8052%

1st-half resultmargin 16.7%

Port Vale2.0143%Draw2.2538%Scunthorpe4.4419%

Odd / even goalsmargin 3.6%

Port Vale1.9350%Scunthorpe1.9350%

Indicative prices from our odds feed; % = de-vigged probability. The bookmaker’s own price may differ — check it before you bet. 18+ · T&Cs apply.

All markets →

Value bets · Dropping odds

Head-to-head

Results between the two teams and each team's latest matches. W win · D draw · L loss

Head-to-head

4Port Vale wins

7Draws

8Scunthorpe wins

Last matches: Port Vale

31.10.26League TwoPort ValeRochdale42W
27.10.26EFL TrophyPort ValeManchester City U2150W
24.10.26League TwoYork CityPort Vale20L
20.10.26League TwoGillinghamPort Vale11D
17.10.26League TwoPort ValeChesterfield10W

Last matches: Scunthorpe

03.11.26National League CupScunthorpeWolves U2123L
31.10.26ConferenceBoston UtdScunthorpe21L
27.10.26ConferenceTamworthScunthorpe41L
24.10.26ConferenceScunthorpeWoking23L
17.10.26FA CupBoston UtdScunthorpe13W

Head-to-head matches

29.01.22League TwoPort ValeScunthorpe10W
25.09.21League TwoScunthorpePort Vale01W
26.01.21League TwoScunthorpePort Vale20L
17.11.20League TwoPort ValeScunthorpe01L
05.09.20Carling CupScunthorpePort Vale12W
29.02.20League TwoPort ValeScunthorpe22D

2.16Avg goals47%Both scored42%Over 2.5

W/D/L from the perspective of the team in the list title (mutual games: the home team of this match).

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe: head-to-head record

19 meetings since 2005: results, goals, BTTS and over/under.

4Port Vale wins

7Draws

8Scunthorpe wins

17:24Goals (Port Vale : Scunthorpe)

2.16Goals per match

47%BTTS

63%Over 1.5

42%Over 2.5

21%Over 3.5

Port Vale at home: 2-4-210:9 goals in 8 games
Scunthorpe at home: 6-3-215:7 goals in 11 games
Port Vale's biggest win: 3–1Port Vale 3–1 Scunthorpe, 27 Aug 2016
Scunthorpe's biggest win: 3–0Scunthorpe 3–0 Port Vale, 11 Sept 2006

Meetings (19 most recent)

Date	Competition	Home	Score	Away
29 Jan 2022	League Two	Port Vale	1–0	Scunthorpe
25 Sept 2021	League Two	Scunthorpe	0–1	Port Vale
26 Jan 2021	League Two	Scunthorpe	2–0	Port Vale
17 Nov 2020	League Two	Port Vale	0–1	Scunthorpe
5 Sept 2020	Carling Cup	Scunthorpe	1–2	Port Vale
29 Feb 2020	League Two	Port Vale	2–2	Scunthorpe
23 Nov 2019	League Two	Scunthorpe	2–1	Port Vale
28 Jan 2017	League One	Scunthorpe	3–2	Port Vale
27 Aug 2016	League One	Port Vale	3–1	Scunthorpe
30 Apr 2016	League One	Scunthorpe	1–0	Port Vale
12 Dec 2015	League One	Port Vale	1–1	Scunthorpe
14 Apr 2015	League One	Scunthorpe	1–1	Port Vale
21 Oct 2014	League One	Port Vale	2–2	Scunthorpe
22 Sept 2009	Carling Cup	Scunthorpe	0–0	Port Vale
31 Dec 2006	League One	Port Vale	0–0	Scunthorpe
29 Oct 2006	FL Trophy	Scunthorpe	0–0	Port Vale
11 Sept 2006	League One	Scunthorpe	3–0	Port Vale
27 Feb 2006	League One	Port Vale	1–2	Scunthorpe
9 Sept 2005	League One	Scunthorpe	2–0	Port Vale

Every meeting we have on record: our match archive plus the head-to-head feed.

Form, last 5 matches

Newest first: result, date and competition, opponent, score. H = home, A = away

Port Vale3W 1D 1L · goals 11–5

W31.10League TwoHRochdale4–2
W27.10EFL TrophyHManchester City U215–0
L24.10League TwoAYork City0–2
D20.10League TwoAGillingham1–1
W17.10League TwoHChesterfield1–0

Scunthorpe1W 0D 4L · goals 9–13

L03.11National League CupHWolves U212–3
L31.10ConferenceABoston Utd1–2
L27.10ConferenceATamworth1–4
L24.10ConferenceHWoking2–3
W17.10FA CupABoston Utd3–1

Goals and trends · last 10

Averages and shares from each team's latest matches, all competitions

Port ValeScunthorpe

1.6Goals scored per game1.6

0.9Goals conceded per game2.2

30%Both teams scored70%

30%Over 2.5 goals80%

5Clean sheets0

20%Failed to score30%

6-0-0Home team at home · away team away (W-D-L)1-0-5

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About this match

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe preview

Port Vale host Scunthorpe in the FA Cup on Sat, 7 Nov 2026, with kick-off at 17:00.

Form · last 5 matches

Port ValeWWLDW11 scored · 5 conceded

ScunthorpeLLLLW9 scored · 13 conceded

Key facts · last 5

Port ValeScunthorpe

1.6Goals scored per game1.6

0.9Goals conceded per game2.2

30%Both teams scored70%

30%Over 2.5 goals80%

5Clean sheets0

Head-to-head in numbers

4Port Vale wins

7Draws

8Scunthorpe wins

19 meetings · 2.2 goals per game · both teams scored in 47%

Our pick

Port Vale to winPort Vale68%Confidence1.59Price

+1 more picks in the Prediction tab

Read the full match preview

Bookmakers make Port Vale the favourite at 1.59 (60% implied), with the draw at 4.30 (22%).

Our strongest pick is Port Vale to win with 68% confidence at a best price of 1.59.

We also have Both teams to score: No (60%, 2.02).

Port Vale come into the game with WWLDW in their last 5 (11 scored, 5 conceded), while Scunthorpe have LLLLW (9 scored, 13 conceded).

Over 2.5 goals came in 30% of Port Vale's recent games and 80% of Scunthorpe's, with both teams scoring in 30% and 70%.

Per game, Port Vale average 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (clean sheets: 5), Scunthorpe 1.6 and 2.2 (clean sheets: 0).

Head-to-head over 19 previous meetings: Port Vale 4 wins, Scunthorpe 8 wins, draws 7.

Those 19 games averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.

The last meeting (2022-01-29) ended Port Vale 1–0 Scunthorpe.

Nito explains: Port Vale vs Scunthorpe

What the numbers on this page mean, in plain words. Every figure comes from our match data.

What do the odds for Port Vale vs Scunthorpe mean?

The best prices are 1.59 for a Port Vale win, 4.30 for a draw and 5.60 for a Scunthorpe win. Decimal odds show the total return per unit staked: 10 at 1.59 returns 15.90 if Port Vale win. As chances (1 ÷ odds, with the bookmaker margin of 4.0% removed) that is 60% Port Vale, 22% draw and 17% Scunthorpe.

What does Nito's pick "Port Vale to win" mean?

It wins only if Port Vale win; a draw or a Scunthorpe win loses. At 1.59, the price implies a 63% chance; Nito's data rates it at 68%. A pick is an opinion based on data, not a certainty.

How often do Port Vale and Scunthorpe matches see both teams score?

Both teams to score (BTTS) pays on "Yes" when each side scores at least once. It happened in 30% of Port Vale's last 10 matches and 70% of Scunthorpe's last 10. In their 19 recorded meetings it was 47%.

What does over 2.5 goals mean for this match?

Over 2.5 goals wins when the match has 3 or more goals. Port Vale reached that in 30% of their last 10 matches, Scunthorpe in 80% of their last 10. Their 19 meetings averaged 2.2 goals (42% over 2.5).

What does the form guide WWLDW mean?

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, newest result first. Port Vale, last 5: 3 W · 1 D · 1 L (11 scored, 5 conceded). Scunthorpe, last 5: 1 W · 0 D · 4 L (9 scored, 13 conceded).

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe: questions & answers

Who will win Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

Our pick is Port Vale to win with 68% confidence (best price 1.59). Bookmaker odds imply Port Vale 60%, draw 22%, Scunthorpe 17%.

Will both teams score in Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

Our both-teams-to-score pick is No (60% confidence, 2.02). Both teams scored in 47% of their 19 previous meetings. In recent games both teams scored in 30% of Port Vale's matches and 70% of Scunthorpe's.

What are the odds for Port Vale vs Scunthorpe?

Odds: Port Vale 1.59, draw 4.30, Scunthorpe 5.60. Our pick Port Vale to win is available at 1.59.

When is the Port Vale vs Scunthorpe kick-off?

Port Vale vs Scunthorpe kicks off on Sat, 7 Nov 2026 at 17:00 (GMT+2).

What is the head-to-head record between Port Vale and Scunthorpe?

19 meetings: Port Vale 4 wins, 7 draws, Scunthorpe 8 wins. Those 19 games averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 47% of them.

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Port Vale vs Scunthorpe prediction & odds

Port Vale

Scunthorpe

Nito’s pick

Match information

Match information

Our pick: why Nito chose it

Why?Value = our confidence minus the bookmaker's implied probability (1 ÷ odds). Plus means the price is higher than our numbers say it should be.

All our picks for this match

Our picks for this match

Win probability

Odds comparison

Odds