Sunderland vs Chelsea preview: Premier League, Sunday 8 November
Bottom-placed Sunderland welcome fourth-placed Chelsea on Sunday. We look at form, the long head-to-head record and the prices, and explain our model's lean on the Asian handicap.
Bottom-of-the-table 
Sunderland host fourth-placed 
Chelsea in the Premier League on Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 14:00 GMT. The standings and the prices both lean towards the visitors, but the most recent meetings between these sides have not followed that script.
What's at stake
Sunderland are 20th with 5 points from 9 games and a goal difference of -10, just behind Nottingham in 19th on 6 points. Every point matters at that end of the table.
Chelsea are 4th on 16 points with a goal difference of 4. They are level on points with 5th-placed Everton, who have played 10, and sit behind Brighton in 3rd on 19. So one side is trying to climb off the bottom while the other is trying to hold on to a top-four place. The full standings are on our Premier League page.
Recent form
Sunderland (L L W D D): the latest result was a 0-2 home defeat to Din. Zagreb in the Europa League on 5 November. Before that came a 1-3 league loss at Coventry, a 3-2 EFL Cup win over Brentford, a 0-0 draw at home to Leeds and a 1-1 draw at Lech Poznan.
Over their last 10 games they average 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, with both teams scoring in 50% and over 2.5 goals in 40%. They kept 2 clean sheets. Our reading: a Thursday European tie followed by a Sunday kick-off is a quick turnaround.
Chelsea (W L L W W): they beat Manchester Utd 2-0 last time out. Before that they lost 1-2 at Liverpool in the EFL Cup and 0-2 at home to Tottenham, after wins at Everton (2-0) and against Bournemouth (5-1).
Their last 10 games average 2.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, with both teams scoring in 60% and over 2.5 goals in 70%. They also kept 2 clean sheets. Chelsea score far more freely, but their concession rate matches Sunderland's.
Head-to-head
Across 50 meetings, Chelsea have won 31, Sunderland 14, with 5 draws. These games average 3.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% and over 2.5 goals in 66%.
The recent picture is different, though:
- 24 May 2026: Sunderland 2-1 Chelsea (Premier League)
- 25 October 2025: Chelsea 1-2 Sunderland (Premier League)
- 21 May 2017: Chelsea 5-1 Sunderland (Premier League)
- 14 December 2016: Sunderland 0-1 Chelsea (Premier League)
The long-run record favours Chelsea, but Sunderland won both of the latest meetings.
What the odds say
The best 1X2 prices are 3.81 for a Sunderland win, 3.77 for the draw and 1.98 for Chelsea. Those translate to implied chances of 25%, 26% and 49%.
Chelsea are the favourites, but at 49% the market rates them just short of an even-money chance. The draw at 26% is barely ahead of a home win at 25%. The market sees Chelsea as the stronger side without dismissing the other two outcomes.
Our pick
Our model leans towards Chelsea -0.25 on the Asian handicap at a best price of 1.74, which implies 57%.
Here is how it settles:
A Chelsea win pays out in full. A draw returns half the stake and loses the other half. A Sunderland win loses the stake.
The case rests on the gap in the table and Chelsea's 2.3 goals per game. The case against is just as real: Sunderland won the most recent meetings, and Chelsea lost to Liverpool and Tottenham in their recent run. Treat this as a lean, not a certainty.
Lineups and live stats will be on the match page. You can browse more of today's tips or check how our picks have done on our track record.
For information only — not betting advice. Prices are the best available at publication. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.
Sources
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